Simon Reed

Only Serena can beat Serena in final

Simon Reed

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I've tipped Serena Williams from the start to win Wimbledon. There was nothing I saw from the semi-finals that has changed my mind.

Her match against Victoria Azarenka was actually a little bit better than I thought it would be.

After Serena won the first set, I thought it was going to be over quickly and Azarenka would be bludgeoned off the court, but credit to the Belarusian - she really slugged it out in the second set, and stayed with Serena all the way only to lose out in the end.

It turned out to be a good match.

I fear for Agnieszka Radwanska in the final though. If Serena is anything from 80 per cent to 100 per cent of her top ability then I think we could be in for one of the quickest Grand Slam finals in history. Radwanska may do well just to win a few games.

If there is a case to be made for Radwanska causing an upset in the final then I'm afraid I can't really see it.

The only thing you could point to is the fact that Serena has been "strange" at times this season. If there is something wrong in her head when she steps out on court then that could open up a chance for Radwanska, but this a match between somebody who is playing in her seventh Wimbledon final against somebody who has never played a Grand Slam final before, so such a scenario would seem unlikely.

Before her match with Angelique Kerber, Radwanska had never even played in a Grand Slam semi-final, and despite being the third seed, she might have slipped under the radar for some people who do not watch women's tennis every week.

She is a top-notch player though, who has been consistently good for a number of years now, and those who know the game, knew that her bigger days would eventually come.

Just because her success has come at Wimbledon though does not mean I would call her a 'grass court' player. In fact, I don't think such a term exists any more.

Where players have their big breakthroughs is no longer significant. There has been such a homogenising of the surfaces these days that there is not much difference between grass and the other surfaces.

Only at Roland Garros can you say the players really face a different challenge, and even there, it is not as marked as it was in the past.

It was a shame Radwanska's semi-final with Kerber did not provide a few more fireworks, but I just think that Kerber was a little bit in awe of the occasion.

I also feel that fatigue was a factor for her too, but her quarter-final victory over Sabine Lisicki was what we will really remember about her from this tournament.

The way she came back to win that match in the third set after losing match points in the second showed tremendous guts, especially after what happened to her at Eastbourne this year when she blew five match points in losing the final to Tamira Pascek.

It was all just a little too much for her against a quality opponent like Radwanska in the semi-finals though. I fear it could be a similar story for the Pole when she faces Serena on Saturday.

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