Anthony Joshua's career is at a crossroads following his shock defeat against Andy Ruiz Jr in June, and he faces the dangerous prospect of an immediate rematch in Saudi Arabia.
Punters' faith has been shaken by Joshua's first defeat as a professional, with a relatively generous best price of 4/9 available for a comeback Joshua victory on December 7. To put those odds in context, Joshua was 1/33 to get the better of Ruiz Jr when the bell sounded in New York for the first meeting.
Ruiz was the 14/1 outsider that night, highlighting the magnitude his achievement, and that performance has understandably led to a dramatic reassessment of his abilities with the Mexican-American now a best price 9/4 to topple Joshua again.
Ruiz put Joshua on the canvas four times in that fight before it was stopped in the seventh round at Madison Square Garden, leaving many boxing pundits to wonder if the former Olympic champion will ever be the same again.
The timing of Joshua-Ruiz 2 could not be more delicate for Joshua with Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder set to fight in early 2020. Another defeat for Joshua could mean a long wait for shot at either of those blue-chip bouts.
An early stoppage?
Images from Joshua's training camp suggest he has lost muscle mass going into this fight, hinting at a more defensive jab and move approach. With revenge on his mind, an electric early knockout would normally prove a popular wager with Joshua fans but the markets are not anticipating too many fireworks.
Joshua is a top price of 28/1 to end the fight in the first, 22/1 to do so in the second, 18/1 to do so in the third. Joshua last stopped a fighter in the opening round when beating Gary Cornish in September 2015 and he has been forced to fight past the opening three rounds in seven of his last nine fights.
If Joshua is to win by KO, rounds five through to seven are rated as the most likely to produce a spectacular finish. Joshua is a best price of 12/1 to win the fight in any of those three rounds.
The favourite in the round-by-round market is a Joshua points victory at a widely available 4/1, with the bookmakers anticipating another close contest.
Will the fight go all the way?
Joshua had been taken the distance by only Joseph Parker in his 23-fight professional career, prior to that first defeat in seven rounds against Ruiz. A best price of 10/3 is still on the board for fight making it to the judges’ scorecards - it was 9/2 before the first fight - while it’s 3/10 that the bout is ended inside the distance by either fighter.
Betting on the big fight? See the Latest Joshua v Ruiz odds and offers
Manner of victory
If you find the 4/9 about Joshua to win the fight too skinny, he can be backed at 4/5 to win this fight by knockout, technical knockout or disqualification and 4/1 to win on points or technical decision.
It’s a best price of 3/1 that Ruiz Jr is victorious by knockout, technical knockout or disqualification and 14/1 that he wins on points.