Crystal Palace vs West Ham United verdict, predicted score, key stats and suggested bets
With both teams looking destined to survive, Crystal Palace and West Ham could serve up a cagey affair in the lunchtime Premier League kick-off.
Date, KO time and TV coverage
Premier League, Saturday April 29, Kick-off 12.30pm, BT Sport 1
Crystal Palace vs West Ham no goalscorer Crystal Palace vs West Ham to draw Crystal Palace vs West Ham under 2.5 goals
West Ham's defeat to Liverpool was their first in six games. West Ham have won just three from 15 away in the Premier League. Six of the last seven matches between the two sides have had over 2.5 goals. Crystal Palace have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven matches against West Ham in all competitions. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Crystal Palace's last three Premier League games.
Wilfried Zaha and Joachim Andersen will be assessed ahead of the game, but Nathaniel Clyne and Nathan Ferguson are out. Odsonne Edouard and Cheick Doucoure should both return. David Moyes named an unchanged line-up versus Liverpool and he could do the same again. Pablo Fornals will be hoping to displace Said Benrahma on the left. Gianluca Scamacca is still missing.
Roy Hodgson's magic touch looks to have just about saved Crystal Palace this season. Hodgson returned last month and won three and drew one of his first four games before losing at Wolves in midweek. One more win will probably keep them up, but they took their eye off the ball at Molineux and they have not scored in their last two games. This could set alarm bells ringing if you are thinking of backing a home win at 8/5. Wins over Leicester, Leeds and Southampton have moved Palace clear of the drop zone, but West Ham are just three points and a place behind them. Only one of the above results came at home and just five wins from 16 at Selhurst Park does not inspire too much confidence. They had 31 shots in the win over Leicester, but that may well have been down to Leicester's failings - the Foxes have since appointed Dean Smith and look transformed. Everton restricted Palace to just 12 shots in their recent goalless draw and West Ham have tightened up recently, especially away from home. Two back-to-back clean sheets at Fulham and Bournemouth suggest that the Hammers can keep Palace at bay. This means it may pay to go against history here and go low on goals. These two usually produce high-scoring games and West Ham have won their last two visits 3-2. In fact, the last 11 meetings between the sides have seen both teams score. West Ham lost 2-1 at home to Liverpool in midweek but they were denied a late penalty which would have seen them draw. They did see Liverpool dominate possession on Wednesday, but neither Palace nor West Ham tend to command possession, so it will be interesting to see who takes the initiative. The hosts will be expected to make the running, but with the third worse xG (1.07) in the league, they will not hold too much fear for David Moyes' men. West Ham have a respectable xG of 1.48 away from home and that suggests they have not quite been at the races in front of goal. It's a difficult game to predict a winner from and it may be worth backing a draw. The London rivals may both be happy to take a point, with both looking well-placed to survive.
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