Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks: Lineup advice, strategy for Thursday, April 13

One game factors heavily into our optimal daily fantasy baseball lineup for Thursday's evening slate. Find out the strategy behind our picks.

As is often the case, the Thursday evening MLB slate is a fairly limited one for those in daily fantasy baseball contests. Six games are on the docket this evening, and as we make our FanDuelGPP tournament lineup picks, one venue will be particularly relied upon to produce some large offensive numbers.

Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park is known for scoring, particularly by way of the long ball. The pitching matchup on tap between the Reds and Brewers certainly does not appear to be one to shy away from, as veteran Bronson Arroyo will square off with big righthander Jimmy Nelson.

With that in mind, let's get our FanDueltournament lineup started with some chalk on the mound.

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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks: Thursday, April 13

Madison Bumgarner, P, SFG vs. COL ($11,300)

Looking at the pitching options for Thursday, Bumgarner is by far the top choice, and it's better safe than sorry for this slate. The four-time All-Star is among the elite hurlers in the game and typically at top form when on his home mound. After being shutdown by the Padres' staff the past few days in Colorado, the Rockies are clearly not clicking on all cylinders.

Welington Castillo, C, BAL at TOR ($2,800)

Castillo is locked in at the plate right now. Beef has gone 5-for-8 with a double over the past two days. He is looking at an inviting matchup opposite Francisco Liriano, off of whom he is 6-for-19 with two homers in his career. Castillo has slugged .500 against southpaws across the past three years, so dial him up.

Eric Thames, 1B, MIL at CIN ($2,500)

After crushing it overseas, Thames made his way back to the States this past offseason. That certainly seems to have been a smart choice for he and his new club, as the 30-year-old first baseman has posted a .318/.400/.591 slash line with four extra-base hits over his first seven games in Brewers' threads.

Jonathan Villar, 2B, MIL at CIN ($3,300)

Lining up in front of Thames, Villar has not exactly come flying out of the gates as he did in 2016. However, he is showing plenty of pop once again, smacking his third roundtripper of the young season Wednesday night in Toronto. Despite only one steal so far, we know the speedy swtch-hitter can swipe bags with the best of them. The matchup with Bronson Arroyo could get Villar on track.

Chase Headley, 3B, NYY vs. TB ($2,900)

Headley has not been someone to put in DFS lineups in quite some time, but he has been swinging a magic wand over the first eight games. Headley has gone 4-for-7 with a home run in his past two gamesand is sporting a ridiculous 1.128 OPS for the year. Opposite Rays' righty Matt Andriese, this is a great price.

Zack Cozart, SS, CIN vs. MIL ($3,000)

Yes, I see the 1-of-17 with five whiffs for Cozart in previous meetings with Jimmy Nelson. Hopefully, that will drive down Cozart's ownership considerably in larger GPP fields. The Reds' shortstop missed a couple games earlier in the week due to a wrist issue, but he returned and went 1-for-4 with a double Wednesday. He is 10-for-24 overall to this point on the season and slugging a whopping .750 off of righties.

Adam Duvall, OF, CIN vs. MIL ($3,600)

Following a 33-homer breakout in 2016, Duvall's power is well known. Though in a rather small sample size,it is quite difficult to ignore his numbers -- 6-of-9 with a home run -- against Nelson. Duvall has picked up seven hits, including two bombs, over the past four days.

Domingo Santana, OF, MIL at CIN ($3,100)

One more member of the Brew Crew, Santana has gone 5-for-11 after an ugly 1-for-15 start. The young slugger has two home runs and a double over the past three days, as he is certainly seeing the ball very well. The Reds have had little success getting him out over the past couple years. Santanaboasts a career .892 OPS against Cincinnati pitching.

Aaron Judge, OF, NYY vs. TB ($2,500)

What does the jury say about Judge? He is huge and incredibly powerful. When the hulking rookie connects, the ball travels ridiculous distances, and he has done just that in three consecutive games. During that stretch, Judge has gone 6-for-11 with six RBIs and five runs scored. Until the price adjusts upward, continue to purchase his services.

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