Hello friends, thanks for stopping by for Wednesday’s daily fantasy baseball picks and strategy article. There’s a full 15-game slate lined up tonight with plenty of sub-par pitching matchups for us to take advantage of. I will say, it feels more like a tournament night than one to go heavy on the cash games, so approach wisely! Let’s get to the strategy and win some money.
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Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks: Wednesday, May 3
Drew Pomeranz, Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (DraftKings: $8,100; FanDuel: $8,100)
Pitching is going to be difficult tonight. As much as I’d like to say Jacob deGrom is a cash lock as the top talent, both his price and matchup make the conversation more interesting. One guy to look at for much cheaper is Pomeranz against the Orioles. We saw last night in Chris Sale’s 11-strikeout performance that Baltimore can be prone to whiffs against lefties. Sure, Pomeranz isn’t Sale, but he’s a high-strikeout southpaw who is really an underrated talent of his own. Pomeranz does come with some risk, as he's the type of pitcher who will rack up pitches quickly, but his ability to go deep in the pitch count also gives him one of the higher upsides on the slate. His 11.2 K/9 in 2017 gets my attention, and I like Pomeranz tonight against this Baltimore lineup.
Other Options: Jacob deGrom, Julio Urias
Jose Altuve, 2B, Houston Astros (DraftKings: $5,000; FanDuel: $4,200)
Anytime the Astros are projected to score the most runs on the slate, you have to look at Altuve at the top of the lineup. Altuve has been off to a great start, and a lot of it has to do with a more complete Astros lineup. Batting third with speed in front of him and more power behind him, Altuve is a potent fantasy play who always has opportunities to knock in runs or get on base and use his speed to score. At the second base position, you don’t have many players with the ceiling Altuve has. In years past, second base has often been a punt spot that didn’t produce enough power options to roster. But with the pricing discounts (inefficiency?) we are seeing in the outfield this year, it has made more and more sense to pay up for reliability at shallower spots. I like a few bats on the Astros offense, but Altuve makes more a dependable scoring option who is likely to get his whether the Astros go off or if he has to do it on his own.
Other Options: Mookie Betts, George Springer
Michael Conforto, OF, New York Mets (DraftKings: $3,500; FanDuel: $3,700)
I really don’t know what’s going on in New York, but after losing Yoenis Cespedes, the Mets have decided they are going to turn their offense around and started to produce runs this series. We heard rumors that SunTrust Park, the Braves new field, was designed to benefit Freddie Freeman’s game, and as ridiculous as this may sound, the park has been playing smaller than expected, especially for lefthanded hitters. Both Conforto and Jay Bruce come into this game in great spots and are priced fairly around the DFS industry. Bruce had two homers last night, and Conforto led off with a homer on Monday -- and those were against the Braves “top two pitchers.” Tonight the Mets get their old friend Bartolo, who has nothing left on the fastball, and Conforto should get some meatballs that he can turn and blast. Conforto gets the edge for me, as leading off with speed and power upside could lead to a big night even if one doesn’t make it out of the park. The Mets have the hot bats right now, so get in on them at this price while it makes sense.
Other Options: Josh Reddick, Andrew Benintendi
Josh Bell, 1B, Pittsburgh Pirates (DraftKings: $2,900; FanDuel: $3,300)
Not a ton of value options I see from the jump, but Bell is one that makes a lot of sense going up against Rookie Davis in Great American Ball Park. Slotted to bat second tonight, Bell gives you cheap power potential in an offense expected to put up runs. The Pirates top prospect was highly regarded for his power in the minors, and while it hasn’t translated immediately, there is still a lot of upside in rostering Bell. Unlike most young, power prospects, Bell has a more mature offensive game and limits his strikeouts, giving him more opportunity to contribute fantasy points through RBIs and scoring runs. I like finding talented value players who aren’t just cheap because they are average, but players who are potentially underpriced compared to their skill set. Bell appears to be the latter type of value play and makes for an interesting prospect to keep an eye on as the season progresses.
Other Options: Whit Merrifield, Yulieski Gurriel
Stack of the Day: Boston Red Sox vs. Kevin Gausman.
I kept looking at Red Sox trying to figure out which bat to highlight, but then I realized they likely work best as a stack rather than one-off plays. Gausman has been getting lit up his past few starts, and there are no indications this changing anytime soon. The Red Sox have the second highest total on the night, and early indications are winds will be gusting out of the stadium. Bogarts-Benintendi-Betts-Ramirez-Moreland make for the perfect 1-5 stack to take advantage of.
Daily Fantasy Baseball Optimal Lineup Example (FanDuel contests)
*NOTE: The above lineup was created at 12 PM ET and is an example of how to plug a core into the RotoQL Optimizer and build around it. Do NOT ever play a lineup without checking injury/lineup/weather news before lock.