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Dewhurst Stakes is Too Darn Hot - your horse-by-horse guide
While last Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe was anything but a strong renewal, this Saturday’s Darley Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket is the most significant race of the juvenile season – and it is packed full of talent.
It is one of the most widely anticipated races of the whole Flat season and rightly so, as this is a very strong crop of juveniles – possibly the best we have seen for many years.
The two market leaders for next season’s 2,000 Guineas, Too Darn Hot and Ten Sovereigns, look set to take each other on, and even if last week’s Middle Park winner stays in Ireland, stablemate Anthony Van Dyck is among the 12 declared at the five-day stage.
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Sangarius also brings his two-race unbeaten record to HQ, while Group 1 winner Advertise is also expected to run in what is one of the deepest fields for the 7f contest in years.
We take a look at each of the 12 potential runners, with the latest odds supplied from our friends at GentingBet, who offer ‘Best Odds Guaranteed’ on each UK and Irish race from noon each day.
Advertise has boosted the form from the early-season. While runner-up to forgotten and injured Calyx in the Coventry Stakes, he has improved to win both the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes and the Group 2 July Stakes. Yet according to official figures, his form is still some way short of what the leading juveniles have achieved. However, he has a good turn of foot and would be a beneficiary if the race turned into a tactical sprint. Odds: 8/1
ANTHONY VAN DYCK (Aidan O’Brien)
This son of Galileo is one of a strong contingent from Ballydoyle and has won three of his five races, including a Group 2 and a Group 3 in Ireland. However, the form of his runner-up effort behind Quorto in the National Stakes at the Curragh was arguably his stand-out effort and that form has been franked by the fourth home, Mowhawk, who subsequently scored in the Royal Lodge. Odds: 4/1
CAPE OF GOOD HOPE (Aidan O’Brien)
Was a well-held runner-up to Quorto in the Group 2 Superlative Stakes on the July Course at Newmarket and has a bit to find with most of this field on his subsequent three-lengths third to stablemate Mowhawk in the Royal Lodge. Odds: 66/1
Just off the top level at Ballydoyle, but a potential improver next season. This son of Galileo was beaten half a length by Anthony Van Dyck in the Irish Futurity at the Curragh and then was almost six lengths adrift of Quorto in the National Stakes. He will have to have improved significantly to take a hand on Saturday. Odds: 25/1
KUWAIT CURRENCY (Richard Hannon)
Winner of two of his three starts, the son of American-bred Kitten’s Joy was last seen in August when taking a Listed 1m contest at Salisbury. This is a major leap into the best company and connections will know exactly where they are with him afterwards. Odds: 25/1
Will need to improve a few lengths on stablemate Anthony Van Dyck to land this prize, based on his third in the Irish Futurity and when beaten over seven lengths by Quorto in the National Stakes. However, while he won an average renewal of the Royal Lodge Stakes a couple of weeks ago, it is still a Group 2 and that cannot be crabbed. Furthermore, he endorsed the form of the National Stakes, which looks to be the strongest juvenile race of the season thus far. He is solid, if unspectacular, and may well improve over further next year. Odds: 16/1
SANGARIUS (Sir Michael Stoute)
One of the least experienced of the field, this son of Kingman looked smart when he won on debut at Newmarket and he took a big stride forward when impressively taking a Listed contest at Doncaster on his second start. He is currently rated at 106 and there is probably better to come from him, but he still looks a little inexperienced on his Flying Scotsman run, where he appeared at one stage as though he would draw miles clear but didn’t. A big, imposing colt, he may still be a bit green and how well he will handle The Dip on the Rowley Mile is going to be interesting. Odds: 3/1
SYDNEY OPERA HOUSE (Aidan O’Brien)
A son of Australia, he deserves his chance in the line-up on the strength of his runner-up effort to Mowhawk in the Royal Lodge, but he does not yet look capable of landing a Group 1, especially such a hot one as this. Odds: 66/1
TEN SOVEREIGNS (Aidan O’Brien)
He put his huge reputation on the line when lining up in the Middle Park two weeks ago, having put up two victories in excellent times in maiden and Group 3 company at the Curragh. The fact that he defeated another exciting and unbeaten colt in Jash at Newmarket, with the pair drawing clear, means he underlined his lofty credentials. It was arguably the best Middle Park performance since Dream Ahead in 2010. Undoubtedly the Ballydoyle number one, if the son of No Nay Never lines up on Saturday, he may well be the one to throw down the gauntlet to Too Darn Hot. Odds: 5/1
With a similar unbeaten three-race profile to Ten Sovereigns, Too Darn Hot is currently the favourite for next May’s QIPCO 2,000 Guineas. Owned by Lord Lloyd Webber, the son of Dubawi produced two deeply impressive performances in landing the Group 3 Solario Stakes at Sandown (a race won last year by subsequent Derby winner Masar), and was arguably even more impressive when taking the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster last month, showing superb mid-race speed when Frankie Dettori got a little further back than he perhaps wanted. He is a colt that seems to travel through the gears so sweetly and while this will be a big test on this idiosyncratic , undulating track, many punters feel he will be able to pass it with flying colours. Already proven over a mile, the one possible negative is that he would not want this race to turn into a tactical sprint. Odds: 11/10
One of the most experienced in the line-up, with eight runs already this season, the best of which came when landing the Group 2 Railway Stakes at the Curragh in June. He has been subsequently well held by the likes of Advertise and Too Darn Hot, so is likely to be making up the numbers. Odds: 66/1
WESTERN AUSTRALIA (Aidan O’Brien)
Appears to be still learning the game judged on his five-length defeat by Madhmoon in the Group 2 Champions Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown last month, when he attempted to make all the running. He is not going to be one of the stable’s stars. Odds: 66/1
TRENDS TO NOTE
The favourite has won six of the last eight runnings
Jockey Ryan Moore and trainer Aidan O’Brien won the last three renewals
Eight of the last 12 winners won on their previous start
Eight of the last 12 winners had at least one previous win over 7f
11 of the last 12 winners had At least four previous runs
Eight of the last 12 winners had a least one win in a Group race
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