DraftKings Picks Week 4: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football tournaments
We're heading into Week 4 of the fantasy football season, and it's becoming easier to identify high-quality targets in NFL DFS lineups. The Week 3 slate was a solid one that saw only a few injuries, and there should be plenty of top-tier talent returning in short order. However, because of the unpredictability with injuries, there are plenty of good sleepers available. We'll certainly be banking on favorable matchups and value prices in our Week 4 DraftKings lineup for GPP tournaments.
Once again, we're targeting some of the league's weaker defensive units against the pass to craft this lineup. The Cowboys and Seahawks are the worst in this area, so we're targeting Browns and Dolphins for some solid value plays. That lets us spend up for a top-tier RB in a great matchup with the Lions and a defense taking on one of the weakest offenses in the NFL.
As always, we're targeting some stacks this week. We got weird with an RB-RB stack last week that didn't work out, but that's not scaring us away from a QB-WR-WR stack this week. We're also playing two TEs in this lineup to help further differentiate our picks and get it to the cash line.
Without further ado, here's a look at our DraftKings GPP lineup for Week 4, starting with a low-cost quarterback with a sky-high ceiling.
1 QB Baker Mayfield, Browns @ Cowboys ($5,800)
The Cowboys have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to QBs this year at a mark of 25.6. Only the Seahawks (30) and Falcons (34.1) allow more. Mayfield is a good bottom-barrel bet at a sub-$6K price tag, especially given that he's coming off back-to-back two-TD games against the Bengals and Washington, respectively. He could boom here, especially if the Browns are playing from behind and have to throw the ball.
2 RB Alvin Kamara, Saints @ Lions ($8,000)
The Lions have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards at a mark of 439, and they allow the most yards per carry to RBs at 6.1 yards per pop. The Saints have been at their best when riding Kamara and their run game this season, so expect them to keep feeding the shifty back. Kamara is averaging 36.6 DK points per game, so he can be trusted to repeat that elite production in an excellent matchup.
3 RB Darrell Henderson, Rams vs. Giants ($5,800)
Henderson has emerged as the lead back in the Rams' backfield, and moving forward, he should see 20-plus touches per game as he did against the Bills. The Giants are solid against the run, but they have given up 180 receiving yards to RBs this year, and that's good for sixth most in the NFL. Henderson could do some damage as a pass-catcher, as evidenced by his two catches for 40 yards in Week 2, and he has a high floor as an explosive rusher averaging 5.7 yards per carry.
4 WR DK Metcalf, Seahawks @ Dolphins ($6,800)
We're sticking with Metcalf in GPP play for another week. The Seahawks passing offense is simply too good to avoid, and Metcalf is slightly cheaper than Tyler Lockett. Metcalf had another four-catch game, his third of the season, and racked up 110 yards and a TD. It was his third game this season he's had at least four catches, 92 yards, and a score, but he could've had a second TD had he not lazily pulled up before the end zone and lost the ball via a fumble. Metcalf has a high floor but also a high ceiling against a Dolphins defense that allows the 12th-most DK points to WRs.
5 WR Odell Beckham Jr., Browns @ Cowboys ($5,800)
With Baker Mayfield in tow, we want his top weapon to go with him. That would be OBJ. The star receiver has been maddeningly inconsistent with the Browns, but he is averaging 7.3 targets per game and 14.1 yards per reception. Sunday should be a good opportunity for him to break out against the Cowboys, as they allow 52.9 DK points per game to WRs, second only to the Seahawks (79.2).
6 WR Jarvis Landry, Browns @ Cowboys ($5,100)
The other major weapon in the Browns offense is Landry. He has had a rocky start to the year, averaging just four catches for 47.7 yards per game, but a matchup with the Cowboys' weak defense could be just what he needs to break out of the funk. By having Mayfield, Beckham, and Landry in the same lineup, we give ourselves some good lineup differentiation that could boom if the Browns/Cowboys game is a shootout.
7 TE Rob Gronkowski, Buccaneers vs. Chargers ($3,600)
After joking that he only came out of retirement to block for Tom Brady, Gronk got in on the action in Week 3. He led the team in targets with seven and caught six of them for 48 yards. At just $3,600, Gronkowski is a good bet since Brady seems to be funneling him targets. With Chris Godwin (hamstring) likely out, Gronk could emerge as one of Brady's preferred receivers and a potential red-zone threat. And even if he just catches a few passes, he'll easily pay off this price tag.
8 FLEX Mike Gesicki, Dolphins vs. Seahawks ($5,100)
We're going with two TEs here, as we wanted to run it back against either the Seahawks' weak secondary or the Browns' defense since we're projecting a high-scoring game. In the end, Gesicki was an affordable option and could end up paying off big time. Gesicki had a 30-point DK game in Week 2, catching eight passes for 130 yards and a TD against the Bills, and should have a chance to do damage against the Seahawks. The Seahawks have been good against TEs, but they may have trouble with Gesicki, as he'll line up in the slot. Having two TEs gives up further lineup differentiation, which is never a bad thing.
9 D/ST Ravens @ Washington ($4,000)
The Ravens were just crushed by the Chiefs on Monday Night Football and gave up 34 points on defense. They're going to be playing mad against a Washington team that just turned the ball over five times and is starting a very inexperienced quarterback in Dwayne Haskins. The Ravens may be the most expensive defense, but their ceiling is so high that this play should be worth it.