When Gracenote first published their Virtual Medal Table, Team GB were projected to win three medals overall: a silver for Lizzy Yarnold in the skeleton and a silver and a bronze for Elise Christie in the 1000m and 500m short track respectively.
But after Christie's magnificent performance at the World Short Track Speed Skating Championships earlier this month in Rotterdam, where she won gold in the 1000m, 1500m and overall event, she has been upgraded to three medals (one silver, two bronze) all by herself. She would have been tipped to take gold by Gracenote in the 1000m but Choi Min-jeong's home advantage swings it for her.
A number of other fine performances by Brits in recent weeks - most notably in slopestyle, with James Woods and Isabel Atkin both winning bronze at the Freestyle World Championships in Sierra Nevada - have also bolstered their hopes of coming home with a record total medal haul, even if no golds are forecast at this stage. Two years ago they secured their biggest ever medal collection in a Summer Games on foreign soil when beating China to second place in the Rio 2016 medal table.
Simon Gleave, head of analysis at Gracenote Sports, said:
Elise Christie's success at the World Short Track Championships has improved Great Britain's projected medal total in Pyeongchang to six, half of which are forecast to be picked up by the Scottish short tracker. Six medals would be Great Britain's best at a Winter Olympics, beating the four won in Sochi and at Chamonix 1924. Curling, freestyle skiing, skeleton and snowboarding also provide realistic medal hopes for the British.
Gracenote's medal forecasts for Team GB are as follows:
|Freestyle skiing||Slopestyle||Bronze||James Woods|
|Freestyle skiing||Slopestyle||Bronze||Isabel Atkin|
|Short track||1000m||Silver||Elise Christie|
|Short track||1500m||Bronze||Elise Christie|
|Short track||500m||Bronze||Elise Christie|
Norway were initially projected to finish top of the medal table having come second to Russia in Sochi, but in their latest analysis, Gracenote expect Germany to supplant them at the top of the pile. Russia, with suspensions, investigations and accusations of "state-sponsored doping" besmirching their huge effort three years ago, are predicted to drop to fifth.
Germany's big increase is thanks in large part to one potential superstar of the PyeongChang games. As Gleave explains:
Read the full article on eurosport.co.uk: PyeongChang 2018 Virtual Medal Table: Team GB tipped for record haul