FanDuel Core Plays: Week 14 NFL DFS advice, picks for cash games
This week's FanDuel "Core Four" will try and bounce back from last week's debacle that included Jonathan Williams and DJ Chark. Week 14 is the perfect time to get into some NFL DFS if you missed your league's fantasy playoffs.
We go for more value plays in our core group this week than usual, starting our lineups off with Ryan Tannehill, Alvin Kamara, Jamaal Williams and Mike Williams. Below, you'll find an example cash-game lineup surrounding those four players on FanDuel.
1 QB Ryan Tannehill, Titans @ Raiders ($7,300)
CORE PLAY: There haven’t been many quarterbacks in the league who have been better than Tannehill since he took over for Marcus Mariota earlier this season. Tennessee is always going to be a team that looks to establish the run through Derrick Henry, but Tannehill has been extremely efficient with his limited passing attempts and has shown enough rushing ability to give him a stable floor at his price point.
This week, Tannehill checks in at only $7,300 on FanDuel in a prime matchup against a Raiders defense that has looked horrible over the past few weeks and has given up the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. With many of the high-end quarterback options in tough matchups, I have no problem spending down on Tannehill in both cash games and GPPs.
2 RB Alvin Kamara, Saints vs. 49ers ($7,600)
CORE PLAY: Kamara has been one of the most frustrating players to roster in DFS this season. He is getting his usual volume of touches and is seeing amazing volume in the passing game with 45 targets over his past five games. However, he has not scored a touchdown on the ground or through the air since Week 3, which has killed his upside. We have to think that some touchdown regression is coming for Kamara before the end of the season, and I’m willing to go in on him this week at a very reasonable $7,600 price tag.
The matchup is tough against the 49ers, but I think that the Saints’ offense will play well in this spot with San Francisco playing their second consecutive 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Kamara is the seventh-highest priced running back on the slate, which is too low considering his upside if positive touchdown regression finally hits.
3 RB Jamaal Williams, Packers vs. Redskins ($5,600)
CORE PLAY: Roster construction this week is leading me to play two value plays in my core plays, starting with Williams at $5,600 on FanDuel. Williams has been the more consistent running back in the Packers backfield over the past few weeks and he is soaking up virtually all of the passing game work over Aaron Jones, but he still comes in at a $2,200 price discount.
While Jones certainly has the higher upside and more touchdown equity, I love the floor that Williams has been providing this season, and he makes a lot of sense to roster in either a cash or GPP “stars-and-scrubs” lineup build. Williams has seen at least 10 carries in each of the past three weeks, and I expect that trend to continue with the Packers coming in as 13-point home favorites to the Redskins.
4 WR Mike Williams, Chargers @ Jaguars ($5,900)
CORE PLAY: The other value play that I’m eyeing this week is Williams. It’s been a tough year for Williams, who doesn’t have a touchdown after being a red-zone monster in 2018. Similar to Kamara, I would be shocked if Williams doesn’t at least have some positive touchdown regression before the end of the season. Williams is being utilized as the main downfield threat, and his air yards per target is among the highest in the NFL, which makes him an intriguing play on a site like FanDuel that doesn’t value receptions as highly as DraftKings.
The matchup is also pretty good for Williams and the rest of the Chargers offense. The Jaguars have allowed 34.3 points per game over their past three outings.
5 WR Russell Gage, Falcons vs. Panthers ($5,700)
Gage has fit nicely into the Falcons' vacant slot receiver role that opened up when Mohammed Sanu was shipped to New England. He has seen 19 targets over the past two weeks, and his target share in the offense should be secure even with Julio Jones (shoulder) likely to return to the offense this week.
6 WR DeVante Parker, Dolphins @ Jets ($7,200)
The other WR spot is going to Parker, whose breakout I don’t think anyone saw coming. Parker has been one of the best wideouts in the league over the past month, and his target volume is what we are looking for out of a player that costs more than $7,000. Parker has seen 10 or more targets in each of his past four games and has averaged 113.5 yards per game in those contents.
It feels weird paying this much salary for a player who had been labeled a first-round draft bust up until this point of his career, but it’s hard to overlook him in a great matchup with the Jets on a week where many of the high-end wide receivers are in tough matchups.
7 TE Ryan Griffin, Jets vs. Dolphins ($5,600)
I expect Jack Doyle to be a popular play in cash games, but his $6,300 price tag is more than I’m willing to pay with so much of my cash lineup salary dedicated to Christian McCaffrey. Griffin has a prime matchup against the Dolphins -- a matchup in which he saw eight targets back in Week 9.
8 FLEX Christian McCaffrey, Panthers @ Falcons ($11,000)
This is a very tough week for cash games, and because of this, I want to lock in Mr. Cash Games himself, which is McCaffrey, even with the high $11,000. McCaffrey is coming off of one of his worst outings of the season last week against the Redskins but has an exploitable bounce-back spot this week against the Falcons.
9 D/ST Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Colts ($3,800)
The D/ST spot is going to the Buccaneers, who have really turned things around on that side of the ball over the past few weeks. They have had defensive touchdowns in each of their past two games and have combined to record 11 total sacks in those games, as well. This week, Tampa will welcome the banged-up Colts to town. While the Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the league, they could be missing T.Y. Hilton (calf) and Marlon Mack (hand) -- and we know they will be without Eric Ebron (ankle) -- and we saw how much they struggled last week on offense against the Titans with all of those pieces out of the lineup.
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