The Grand National is getting every more competitive and remains as unpredictable as ever - the past five winners have started at 33/1, 25/1, 25/1, 66/1 and 33/1 - so the moral is, if you fancy a horse do not worry about the price.
If we forgive Vicente his form this season, and there is every reason to believe we can as he likes decent ground and there has been very little of that about during a wet winter, then last year's Scottish Grand National winner is definitely overpriced at 25-1.
Trevor Hemmings loves to win this race and has been successful with Many Clouds, Hedgehunter and Ballabriggs. He clearly saw enough in Vincente's profile to believe that he was worth purchasing and the eight-year-old will have his first run in the green, white and yellow colours here. He could well provide National win number four for Hemmings, one of National Hunt racing's biggest and most fervent supporters.
We may have had 170 years to work out a system for finding the winner of the Randox Health Grand National but, if anything , it is getting harder rather than easier. A pin or a name with some sort of attachment has probably never been more useful.
That said I have picked four horses from which I believe the winner will come; The Last Samuri, Highland Lodge, The Young Master and Wonderful Charm which raises the prospect of Katie Walsh becoming the first female jockey to win the race.
The Last Samuri is not big and has top weight but he loves the course, will get into a rhythm and should again finish in the top half dozen. The Young Master has the not inconsiderable advantage of amateur Sam Waley-Cohen in the plate, has been trained very much with this race in mind and warmed up nicely at Cheltenham. He has the combination of class and weight to win.
Highland Lodge is another to have won and been second on his last two visits to Aintree in the Becher Chase, loves the place and having not run since December is coming here fresh and yet trained to the minute.
Wonderful Charm has also had the benefit of light season and finished like a steam train in the Foxhunters. His confidence is high and he could be the surprise package of the Paul Nicholls five.