Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers verdict, predicted score, key stats and suggested bets
Millwall are in sixth, just two points ahead of ninth-placed Blackburn, with Sunderland and West Brom also vying for the final play-off place.
Date, KO time and TV coverage
Championship, Monday May 8, Kick-off 3pm, live on Sky Sports Football
Under 2.5 goals Draw
Millwall are the Championship draw specialists - the Lions have played out 60 draws in the last four seasons. The law of averages suggests Millwall are due a draw, with one in five of their games finishing 1-1 at The Den since the start of the 2019/20 season. Blackburn Rovers have drawn five of their last six Championship matches. Four of the eight meetings between the sides at The Den have finished in a draw.
George Honeyman (hamstring), Murray Wallace (muscle) and Charlie Cresswell (head) are all unavailable for Millwall. Shaun Hutchinson should partner Jake Cooper in Cresswell's absence, with Millwall likely to return to a back four. John Buckley (leg), Jack Vale (ankle) and Clinton Mola (ankle) are unavailable for the visitors.
Millwall vs Blackburn Rovers verdict
Regardless of Millwall's current form, you couldn't have handpicked a tougher set of circumstances for Blackburn Rovers to face. The hosts can secure their play-off place with a win and The Den will be rocking. Millwall's 3-2 victory at Blackpool relegated the Seasiders and allowed them to claim pole position going into the final day of the season. Meanwhile, Rovers' collapse has been remarkable. The Lancashire side looked like a contender for automatic promotion when they capped a seven-match unbeaten run with a 1-0 win over Sheffield United on March 4. Jon Dahl Tomasson's side have won just one of 10 Championship matches since that date. Their latest setback was a 1-1 draw at home to Luton in which the visitors created marginally better chances. If you look up the definition of a draw in the dictionary, there might be an honorary mention for Millwall. The Lions have played out a staggering 60 draws across the past four seasons, topping the table for draws in two of those. Just shy of 20% of Millwall's home games during that run have finished 1-1, a result we've seen three times in Blackburn's previous four matches. Neither defence has been giving too much away in recent weeks so the first goal of the game could prove crucial. Neither side will want to concede it and to point out the obvious, the game can't be won in the opening 45 minutes. Blackburn's first task will be to withstand the early pressure and silence the crowd as best they can. Even then, it's not likely to be an open and expansive game, so betting on under 2.5 goals looks like a smart move.
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