Two Arsenal strikers in top three of Premier League worst finishers owned by xG

Arsenal look for forward Credit: Alamy
Arsenal look for forward Credit: Alamy

We bring you the top/bottom 10 players who are massively underperforming in front of goal this season, and Mo Salah was on that list.

Oh and we don’t hold no truck with penalties so we have taken those numbers out.

For the less fun list of players wildly outstripping their xG numbers, go here.


10) Dango Ouattara (Bournemouth)
Expected goals: 2.4
Actual goals: 0

Has taken 15 shots since arriving in January and has only hit the target four times. Welcome to the Premier League, fella; you must do better.


9) Mohamed Elyounoussi (Southampton)
Expected goals: 2.6
Actual goals: 0

This monumental miss v Newcastle was given an xG value of 0.66.


8) Raul Jimenez (Wolves)
Expected goals: 2.6
Actual goals: 0

He still doesn’t know how he didn’t score v Leeds.


7) Patrick Bamford (Leeds)
Expected goals: 4.8
Actual goals: 2

Last scored in a Premier League win for Leeds in May 2021. Oh mate. But he did score v Brighton so whoop whoop.


6) Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United)
Expected goals: 5.8
Actual goals: 3

In three of four Premier League seasons, Bowen has scored fewer goals than his xG suggests he should. He took a ludicrous six shots v Nottingham Forest without scoring.


5) Neal Maupay (Everton)
Expected goals: 3.8
Actual goals: 1

Eleven shots in his last three starts and still cannot score. Sean Dyche really had no choice but to drop him.


4) Andreas Pereira (Fulham)
Expected goals: 4.0
Actual goals: 1

Four shots v Arsenal and he did not hit the target once. Takes a lot of free-kicks; does not score a lot of free-kicks.


3) Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)
Expected goals: 8.1
Actual goals: 5

All-round game, works hard etc etc. But the truth is that Jesus has been owned by his xG in three of his five full seasons in the Premier League and is very much heading towards four in six.


2) Eddie Nketiah (Arsenal)
Expected goals: 7.4
Actual goals: 4

Seems odd now that there was a point when we wondered whether Gabriel Jesus would even get in this Arsenal side. Actually, it seems more than odd; it seems f***ing mental.


1) Danny Welbeck (Brighton)
Expected goals: 5.4
Actual goals: 2

Oh he enjoyed that goal v West Ham. But it’s still a truly rotten record.



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