NASCAR at Road America betting preview: The Cup Series goes to another new road course

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NASCAR at Road America betting preview: The Cup Series goes to another new road course
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Jockey Made in America 250

2:30 p.m. ET, NBC

NASCAR will celebrate the Fourth of July at a track where the Cup Series has never raced.

Sunday’s race at Road America is the first modern-era Cup Series race at the 4-mile Wisconsin track. Road America was added to the Cup Series schedule in 2021 as part of NASCAR’s shift toward more road courses. After three road courses had been on the 36-race schedule in recent years, NASCAR doubled that number with scheduled races at Road America, Circuit of the Americas and the Indianapolis Motor Speedway road course.

Throw in a race moved to the Daytona road course and seven of the 36 races on this year’s Cup schedule are at road courses. And it won’t surprise you in the slightest that the two drivers who have excelled recently on road courses are the two favorites for Sunday’s race.

Chase Elliott enters as the favorite at +230. Elliott won at Circuit of the Americas in May and six of his 12 career wins are on road courses.

Kyle Larson is the No. 2 favorite at +280. The fastest driver in 2021, Larson was second to Elliott at COTA and was dominant at Sonoma in June to score the first road course win of his career. The June 27 race at Pocono was the first race since Darlington on May 9 that Larson hadn’t led laps. And guess what? He finished second at both Pocono and Darlington.

Here’s a look at what you need to know to bet Sunday’s race. All odds are from BetMGM.

The favorites

Chase Elliott, +230

Kyle Larson, +280

Martin Truex Jr., +650

Kyle Busch, +800

Joey Logano, +1000

Truex was the second-fastest driver at Sonoma and has been right behind Elliott in terms of road course speed over the last few seasons. Busch won the second race at Pocono with just fourth gear and will be racing in the Xfinity race on Saturday. Logano’s odds are so low because he finished second at the Daytona road course, third at COTA and fourth at Sonoma.

Good mid-tier value

Kevin Harvick, +2500

Christopher Bell, +3300

Harvick’s team keeps getting faster and faster even though it hasn’t shown race-winning speed on a consistent basis just yet. Harvick is also running the Xfinity race on Saturday and has multiple road course wins. Bell won at the Daytona road course and won the 2019 Xfinity race at Road America.

Don't bet this driver

Ross Chastain, +4000

Chastain was fourth at COTA and seventh at Sonoma after he made a fantastic move to cut through the inside of the final corner while accelerating from a crash to keep his track position. We’re not confident of his chances of winning at Road America, however, and his odds seem a bit inflated because of those two finishes.

Looking for a long shot?

Tyler Reddick, +6600

Reddick got the pole and finished ninth at COTA. He finished third at Road America in 2019 and seems like decent value.

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