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NASCAR betting: Tyler Reddick's title odds jump after Road America win

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Tyler Reddick’s NASCAR Cup Series title odds got a nice boost after his win at Road America on Sunday.

Reddick became the 13th winner over the first 18 races of the 2022 season when he beat Chase Elliott to the checkered flag for the first win of his career. With a playoff berth looking like a near-certainty, Reddick is now at +1600 at BetMGM to win the Cup Series title and is the No. 10 favorite.

The two-time Xfinity Series champion is 13th in the points standings and has more top-five finishes than six drivers ahead of him. As Reddick’s odds make clear, he’s not that much of a title underdog.

Elliott has overtaken teammate and defending Cup Series champion Kyle Larson as the favorite for the title. Elliott (+500) has two wins and four top-five finishes in the last eight races and has been leading the points since the fifth race of the season.

Larson is at +600 to win the title while Kyle Busch is up to +800 with Ross Chastain. Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano are both at +900 to win the title while William Byron and Ryan Blaney are at +1000.

Tyler Reddick reacts after winning the Kwik Trip 250 after a NASCAR Cup Series auto race Sunday, July 3, 2022, at Road America in Elkhart Lake, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
Tyler Reddick reacts after winning the Kwik Trip 250 after a NASCAR Cup Series auto race Sunday, July 3, 2022, at Road America in Elkhart Lake, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)

How many non-winners will make the playoffs?

Sixteen drivers will make the playoff field after the first 26 races of the season and every driver with a win will be in the playoffs unless there are 17 or more winners.

There have never been more regular-season winners than playoff spots in the eight previous seasons of NASCAR’s 16-driver playoff format. It’s not farfetched to think that streak could be broken in 2022.

Blaney is second in the points standings despite not having a win. Martin Truex Jr. (+1200) is seventh in the standings and winless too. Christopher Bell (+2000) is a spot behind him in eighth and also winless.

Those three drivers provisionally occupy the final three playoff spots. That means winless Kevin Harvick is the first driver out of the playoffs despite being 11th in the standings. And it’s why Harvick’s title odds are so high. Harvick is +3300 to win the title and has the 15th best odds of anyone in the field.

If Blaney and Truex win over the next eight races — assumptions that aren’t foolproof but have pretty good odds — then there could be just one spot available in the playoffs for a winless driver if no one else gets his first win of the season. That would be unprecedented and put the focus on Bell, Harvick and Aric Almirola (+15000) to get that final spot.

Title odds of drivers with a win

Chase Elliott (+500)

  • 2 wins, 1st in points standings (624 points)

Kyle Larson (+600)

  • 1 win, 4th (553)

Kyle Busch (+800)

  • 1 win, 6th (547)

Ross Chastain (+800)

  • 2 wins, 3rd (589)

Denny Hamlin (+900)

  • 2 wins, 20th (394)

Joey Logano (+900)

  • 2 wins, 5th (551)

William Byron (+1000)

  • 2 wins, 10th (489)

Tyler Reddick (+1600)

  • 1 win, 13th (441)

Alex Bowman (+2000)

  • 1 win, 9th (494)

Chase Briscoe (+2000)

  • 1 win, 16th (422)

Kurt Busch (+2500)

  • 1 win, 15th (424)

Austin Cindric (+3300)

  • 1 win, 14th (431)

Daniel Suarez (+3300)

  • 1 win, 17th (420)

Top title odds of winless drivers

Ryan Blaney (+1000)

  • 2nd in points standings (591 points)

Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)

  • 7th (540)

Christopher Bell (+2000)

  • 8th (499)

Kevin Harvick

  • 11th (479)

Aric Almirola (+15000)

  • 12th (452)

Austin Dillon (+15000)

  • 19th (405)

Erik Jones (+15000)

  • 18th (414)

Michael McDowell (+15000)

  • 21st (384)

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