NHL DFS Picks: Strategy, advice, values for DraftKings, FanDuel for Tuesday, January 2

Chris Wassel has NHL DFS picks and strategy advice to help you take down Tuesday's DraftKings and FanDuel contests.

Happy New Year! Welcome to another fun, 12-game NHL DFS slate. Tuesday's action features a three-game turbo, a two-game second turbo, and a two-game late option. As always, we're here to help daily fantasy hockey players with potential value picks and strategy advice for DraftKings and FanDuel contests. Our advice is based on advanced stats, Vegas odds, matchups, and potential points per dollar, among other factors.

The “Sniper” contest may fill easily based on increased demand. That has an $3 entry with $17,500 prize pool ($1,500 goes to first place). Also, there is the Fantasy Hockey World Championship qualifier, which has a $33 entry fee. Several good GPP’s are out there at a range of prices. Also of note, several games have an over/under of six from Las Vegas. Keep in mind, Vegas is not always right, as there's always the possibility of higher-scoring matchups that could dud.

MORE: SN DFS | DFS Lineup Builder

Because of the volatile nature of goalies (and other reasons), there will be more information on social media coming closer to roster lock. Don't be afraid to ask questions. If you are looking for even more advice and insight, please check me out on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let’s get into tonight’s value picks after a visit from the RotoQL optimizer.

Tuesday NHL DFS Picks: Center values

Patrik Berglund, St. Louis vs. New Jersey (DraftKings $3,400, FanDuel $3,900)

Berglund has six goals in 17 games but has been providing nice value (especially at home). Though the center plays on the third line at even strength mostly, he is going to see some awful New Jersey depth. He is not the only interesting play, however.

With the 12-game slate, there is still room to set up a few different lineups that are outside the limits of being safe. This can even be a nice one-off if needed. It can be part of a mini-stack, too. Expect Vancouver and even Los Angeles ownership to be a good bit lower than normal. Tuesday night will be a night where it is not just about “stars and scrubs”, but how a player maximizes value with spending.

The good news is there are several other options as far as value on Tuesday night. Even Calle Jarnkrok qualifies as center on FanDuel (he gets top-line minutes for Nashville). Perhaps Anaheim’s power play is something to look at along with Vancouver’s. It is a kind of night where digging and picking around could pay off. Minnesota centers are risky because of James Reimer in net for Florida, BUT when does the balloon burst?

Other Options: William Karlsson (backing off in price), Steven Stamkos (near chalk), John Tavares, Brayden Point, Erik Haula (touch expensive), Kyle Turris, Matt Duchene (high risk), Vincent Trocheck, Auston Matthews, Sidney Crosby, Ryan Spooner (moderate risk) (More choices on Twitter).

Crazy Value Possible: Lars Eller, Carl Soderberg (hit or miss), Radek Faksa.

Tuesday Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks: Winger values

David Backes, Boston @ NY Islanders (DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $5,200)

Backes has points in four straight games and will not see the Islanders best defensive pairings. Here is the thing: New York’s team defense is one of the worst in league. They are better at home but still allow 3.28 goals per game and have a penalty kill that is in the mid-70’s at home. Backes and even Danton Heinen could be plays on the secondary power play units. The risk is the expected goals for battling historical context. Five of the last seven matchups here have hit the under. Keep that in mind.

Alex Tuch, Jesper Bratt, and maybe Mark Letestu are all nice low-price options on DraftKings tonight. With this slate, even these riskier plays are viable. On a few lineups, these forwards may be worth a shot. Watch the second and even third lines of some teams. Even a Marian Gaborik one off play may be worth a flier. It should take 45-plus points to cash.

Other Options: Tyler Johnson, Mitch Marner, Mikael Granlund, Nikita Kucherov and Jonathan Marchessault (near chalk), Craig Smith (some risk), Alexander Radulov, Alex Ovechkin, Max Pacioretty (high-risk GPP flier), Tyler Toffoli, Leon Draisaitl. More plays will be on social media. Also, watch to see if there are any last minute line shifts (Extra choices will come later this afternoon on Twitter).

Crazy Value Possible: Arturri Lehkonen, Travis Konecny (extreme risk), Marco Johansson, Mattias Janmark (some risk), Ivan Barbashev (DANGEROUS risk).

Tuesday NHL DFS Advice: Defensemen picks, values

Jared Spurgeon, Minnesota vs. Florida (DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $4,800)

Spurgeon shoots at moderate to higher levels typically and has block potential of two or three shots a game. On occasion, he will block more shots than usual. That sounds a bit risky, but the Islanders can drag the pace up of almost any team it seems. His 17 points in 30 games is pretty good, and he produces at around $400 per FanDuel point.

Florida allows a ton of daily fantasy points to defensemen on the road. As a matter of fact, they allow the fifth most in all of hockey over the last month. Some will go for Matthew Dumba, but remember he has a lower floor. His price is cheaper, but again there is uncertainty. There are so many choices with the 12-game slate that even Alex Pietrangelo is not as chalky as usual.

The defenseman position has lots of possibilities. John Klingberg could be a nice choice again along with Shayne Gostisbehere. There is also a lot of value in the bargain bin tonight. Many punt plays will again arise from the blueline. Also note that Mikhail Sergachev is in play along with Colin Miller and Miller is not rising in price as fast.

Other Options: Nick Leddy, Alex Pietrangelo (not as chalky as usual), Victor Hedman, Keith Yandle (less risk), Shea Theodore (will be lower owned), Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Alexander Edler (high risk), Seth Jones, Cam Fowler, Erik Johnson (floor play), Justin Faulk (moderate risk), Charlie McAvoy (more choices on social media to come).

Crazy Value Possible: Matthew Dumba, Noah Hanifin, Michael Matheson, Justin Braun, Colin Miller, Dmitry Orlov (if feeling iffy on Niskanen), Josh Morrissey – lots of value choices.

Tuesday Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice: Goalie picks, values

Jake Allen, St. Louis vs. New Jersey (DraftKings $7,900, FanDuel $8,400)

Allen is a risky GPP play because of moderate event shot projections on Tuesday. He is only expected to face 26-28 shots. This can always be wrong, but his price given Vegas projections and expected goals for gives Allen a little more margin for error. The Blues have allowed over 2.6 goals per game in their last 10 home games (5-5 in that span) but are facing a New Jersey team allowing 3.17 goals per game and expected to give up at least that tonight.

That leaves the dilemma of who else to play. Confirmations are just coming out, so the best course of action may be to wait a bit. There are also some low team totals tonight. For as many bullish predictions from Vegas, there are some bears, as well. James Reimer may be a play tonight at a low price. His underlying numbers have been good and the five-game winning streak is enticing. Understand that Minnesota’s individual scoring chances for at home dips by a third compared to the road. Even Jakob Markstrom might be a viable option considering Anaheim is shooting more lately.

The emphasis will be to wait until closer to lock (7 p.m. ET) for any line shifts and goalie changes, etc. Also, watch for injuries and returns tonight, as some projections may be impacted.

Other Options: Carey Price (some risk), Cam Ward? (more cash games), Jakob Markstrom (moderate risk). More choices will come closer to lock. Jonathan Quick and even Devan Dubnyk have some potential also but waiting on any line shifts first.

NHL DFS Picks for Tuesday: Top Lines to Stack

These are based on RotoQL lineup optimizer projections.

  • · STL 1 – 1 will be moderately highly owned (near chalk) and yet will be the toughest fade of the night for those that go that route. NJ gives up chances in bunches to top six units and even the power play unit of St. Louis may be in play.
  • · COL 1 – It's not bad, and Winnipeg again gives up the fifth-most high-danger-per-60 chances in the league since Nov. 1.
  • · TB 2 – Both lines can be used, but the second line may have more potential tonight. Toronto cannot match up as well with them. First line will have some play because of the 12-game slate.
  • · CAR 1 – One of the better lines in the league and draws a reasonable matchup against a Capitals team that bleeds high-danger chances per 60 (bottom 10 in league on the road).
  • · VGK 2 -- VGK 1 is expensive but can be used as one-offs or mini-stack.
  • · NSH 2 – Going against a Vegas team that can yield some goals. Parts of NSH 1 could be used for one-offs.
  • · WPG 1 – Line one could be forgotten a bit as chances are traded both ways. For later slates, the WPG-COL game makes for good game stack potential due to an expected goals of well over six.
  • · PHI 1 – Philadelphia and Pittsburgh games can always take an offensive life of their own. Watch for Sidney Crosby and the PIT power play here, though.
  • · LAK PP 1 is risky but Edmonton’s penalty kill is still a mess (barely 70 percent at home). EDM PP 1 might almost be considered contrarian given their volatility and LA’s number one penalty kill. The Kings yield tons of scoring chances and historically fare poorly in Edmonton.

These are just a few lines. As updates become more available, there will be more on social media. Watch to see who plays. That will swing ownership a little bit. Our spotlight picks feature more value which can mean more inherent risk.

NHL DFS Strategy: Reviewing what went wrong

This was simple. There was only one game yesterday!

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