NHL DFS Picks: Strategy, advice, values for DraftKings, FanDuel for Tuesday, March 6

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Chris Wassel has NHL DFS picks and strategy advice to help you take down Tuesday's DraftKings and FanDuel contests.

NHL DFS Picks: Strategy, advice, values for DraftKings, FanDuel for Tuesday, March 6

Chris Wassel has NHL DFS picks and strategy advice to help you take down Tuesday's DraftKings and FanDuel contests.

We have an nine-game NHL DFS slate on Tuesday, which includes a four-game late option. As always, we're here to help daily fantasy hockey players with potential value picks and strategy advice for DraftKings and FanDuel contests. Our tips are based on advanced stats, Vegas odds, matchups, and potential points per dollar, among other factors.

Several games could have an over/under of six from Las Vegas. Keep in mind, Vegas is not always right. Also, there is the $25,000 Forecheck contest with a $4 entry fee and an $80,000 Tuesday Special ($15,000 to first) with a $20 entry fee.

MORE: SN DFS | DFS Lineup Builder

Because of the volatile nature of goalies (and other reasons), there will be more information on social media coming closer to roster lock. Don't be afraid to ask questions. If you are looking for even more advice and insight, please check me out on Twitter @ChrisWasselDFS. Let’s get into tonight’s value picks after a visit from the RotoQL optimizer.

Tuesday NHL DFS Picks: Center values

Nick Schmaltz, Chicago vs. Colorado (DraftKings $3,700, FanDuel $6,300)

Tuesday features a bounty of higher profile options. Schmaltz has points in three of his past five games and now has seen some power play time again. If he plays with Alex DeBrincat at all tonight, that will be a duo to watch. He had two goals in his last game, mostly with him. Colorado’s defense is porous on the road especially, and this is a DraftKings only play. Schmaltz is priced too high to play on FanDuel.

With the nine-game slate, there is room to set up a few different lineups that are outside the limits of being safe. This can even be a nice one-off if needed.How high event does that Florida-Tampa Bay game become or New Jersey-Montreal game for that matter? Those are good questions given their respective center options and their high floors (lots of shots and/or block potential).

Other Options: Paul Stastny (okay in price), Riley Nash, Nico Hischier (nice price on DraftKings, Mark Scheifele/Blake Wheeler, Ryan Getzlaf, Nathan MacKinnon (expensive), Nicklas Backstrom, Pierre-Luc Dubois, Ryan Johansen, Dylan Larkin, William Karlsson, Steven Stamkos, Kevin Hayes, Vincent Trocheck/Aleksander Barkov, Ryan Spooner. (More choices on Twitter).

Crazy Value Possible: Pavel Zacha (hit or miss), Elias Lindholm, Philip Danault, Mike Fisher.

Tuesday Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks: Winger values

Nick Bjugstad, Florida @ Tampa Bay (DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $5,200)

Bjugstad is a nice GPP play tonight because he is still a bit under the radar and his shot volume creates a nice floor! He has 13 points in his past 15 games and is shooting at over 3.5 shots per night in that span. If he keeps up that rate and gets the opportunities with the top six like he has been showing, the winger could be a nice mid-priced play. Tampa has been bleeding chances like Florida as of late. So, there are quite a few mid- to middle-high options from this game alone. This may be why both sites inched up prices a bit here.

Finding value plays is relatively easy on a large slate like this. The hard part is finding those plays that produce. Look to teams that are riddled with injuries for punt plays. Montreal is hurting badly, and a couple of their defensive prospects will have significant roles. With Max Pacioretty out for the season likely, that means more opportunity.

Alex DeBrincat, Gustav Nyquist, and Alex Galchenyuk are all nice options on DraftKings tonight. With this slate, even these riskier plays are viable. On a few lineups, these forwards may be worth a shot. Watch the second and even third lines of some teams (especially Boston). It should take 40-plus points to cash.

Other Options: David Pastrnak/Brad Marchand (chalky), Kyle Palmieri (top line), Alexander Radulov, Artemi Panarin (higher owned), Patrik Laine, Andreas Athanasiou, Taylor Hall (FIRE chalk), Jonathan Marchessault, Yanni Gourde, David Backes, Evgeni Dadonov/Jonathan Huberdeau, T.J. Oshie, Alex Kerfoot , Sebastian Aho, Filip Forsberg (It is Tuesday – look at Nashville wingers), Chris Kreider. More plays will be on social media. Also, watch to see if there are any last-minute line shifts (Extra choices will come later this afternoon on Twitter).

Crazy Value Possible: Tyson Jost (watch ice time), Mattias Janmark (some risk), Boone Jenner, Paul Byron.

Tuesday NHL DFS Advice: Defensemen picks, values

Mike Matheson, Florida @ Tampa Bay (DraftKings $4,000, FanDuel $4,400)

Choices are abundant among defensemen on Tuesday night. Matheson is priced well on DraftKings and even FanDuel to an extent. Florida tends to play high-event hockey often and Matheson has hit or exceeded value in eight of his past 10 starts. This includes some unexpected point potential and a decent floor from blocked shots. He is far from the only target tonight in a slate full of value.

Tampa Bay has seen up-and-down goaltending and team defense over the past 10 games or so. This will open some options up for those who can spend up a bit on someone like Aaron Ekblad, who has hit value at about an 65-percent clip in the past month. His floor is usually good as mentioned elsewhere. His price makes him even more of a play tonight because of how big this slate is. Sami Vatanen is on a good run with 12 points in his past 15 games or so. He does get hot and cold, but his price is still below DFS average ($5,100 on FanDuel).

The defenseman position has lots of possibilities. Patrik Nemeth can be used on a night like this for his floor (blocked shots and shots on goal combined). Mike Reilly and Noah Juulsen could surprise tonight from Montreal’s blueline, and they are dirt cheap. Watch for Kevin Shattenkirk, but John Gilmour could even be in play for the Rangers facing Steve Mason in his return from a concussion. It is the little things that matter on larger slates like this.

Other Options: Dustin Byfuglien (priced too low), Roman Josi (IF PLAYING), Zach Werenski, Dustin Byfuglien, Sami Vatanen (heating up), Niklas Kronwall (high risk), Torey Krug (could even risk Zdeno Chara), Tyson Barrie, John Carlson, Cam Fowler, Jared Spurgeon, Jeff Petry, Shea Theodore. More choices on social media to come.

Crazy Value Possible: Matt Dumba, Jaccob Slavin, Stephen Johns, Patrik Nemeth, Jordan Oesterle, Damon Severson (dangerous risk).

Tuesday Daily Fantasy Hockey Advice: Goalie picks, values

Keith Kinkaid, New Jersey vs. Montreal (DraftKings $7,800, FanDuel $7,700)

Kinkaid is a reasonable cash play on Tuesday because of higher event shot and goal projections. He is expected to face near 30 shots and has six straight quality starts. Montreal is without Max Pacioretty, Shea Weber, Carey Price, Victor Mete, just to name a few. However, they can still generate chances, and New Jersey allows 32 shots per 60 at home. It is unusual to find a goalie with a good matchup like this at this solid of a price.

That leaves the dilemma of who else to play. Confirmations are just coming out, so the best course of action may be to wait a bit. There are also some low team totals tonight. For as many bullish predictions from Vegas, there are some bears, as well. Chicago goaltending may be a decent GPP play tonight. There are quite a few cash goalie options at least. Watch for last-minute scratches, like the Antti Raanta fiasco from Monday night. It was so far after lock that it caught most by surprise.

The emphasis will be to wait until closer to lock (7 p.m. ET) for any line shifts and goalie changes, etc. Also, watch for injuries and returns tonight as some projections may be impacted.

Other Options: Anton Khudobin (Cash maybe GPP play), Steve Mason (extreme risk), Joonis Korpisalo, Charles Lindgren (value perhaps), John Gibson. More choices will come closer to lock. Watch for late line changes and injury news as that will have more impact than usual.

NHL DFS Picks for Tuesday: Top Lines to Stack

These are based on RotoQL lineup optimizer projections.

Again, these are based on optimizer projections.

  • · MIN 1 – 1 will be higher owned tonight with Eric Staal leading the way. Could float down a little closer to lock.

  • · NJD 1– Has been consistently their best line all year and should draw the best matchups. Taylor Hall has a point in every game he has played in 2018. And Nico Hischier is shooting the puck!

  • · WPG 1 – The Rangers are allowing 40-plus shots a night over the past four contests and really one could plug parts of any of the top nine in tonight. The Rangers could be a good play via parts of their power play, as the Jets still take a ton of penalties.

  • · CLB 1 – Who can stop the Breadman, I mean Artemi Panarin? Another mini-stack play at least.

  • · ANA 1 – The Rakell play could be a great idea tonight ,as Washington down the middle gives up the third most scoring chances on the road per 60. They have allowed 3.8 goals a game away from home since Jan. 1.

  • · NSH 1 – It is risky, but it is Forsberg Tuesday! Dallas is not rested and no Ben Bishop in net.

  • · BOS 1 – Even without Bergeron this is a good idea. For less expensive, look at Boston’s second or even third lines against a weak Detroit defense.

  • · TBL 1 / FLA 1 –This has some mini-game stack potential. Consider the two teams are top five in pace and both can easily generate 35 shots per 60. Tinkering to one of the second lines could save money and be profitable tonight.

  • · VGK PP 1 – The Blue Jackets do not take a lot of penalties but can be victimized. Even the Columbus first-unit power play could be something to look at because New Jersey scored once and had dangerous chances galore on the other power play opportunity.

  • · MON PP 1 – This is a little risky because of injuries and how poorly Montreal has played, but its power play can be effective against a penalty kill that has a backup goalie anchoring it.

These are just a few lines. As updates become more available, there will be more on social media. Watch to see who plays. That will swing ownership a little bit. This is one of those nights where even one or two scoops can mean a huge difference. Watch out for injuries as there has been a heavy spotlight on Twitter. For analysis, The Fantasy Doctors is a good read. Our spotlight picks feature more value which can mean more inherent risk. Those picks will mostly be lower owned.

NHL DFS Strategy: Reviewing what went wrong

There was a nasty slate with a bad late kick. That became a bigger issue on Monday then it should have. The Brock Boeser injury was a huge blow along with another blown lead for the Islanders. When the best goaltender was the Ottawa goalie, that is a problem. Though Tristan Jarry stopped 35 shots and won his game. It was a night of bizarre, and if one did not have Brendan Leipsic, there was a problem.

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