Sunday ITV Racing Tips: Best bets for Newmarket, Hamilton and Salisbury

·7-min read

You can follow our tips, which are listed below, or pick your own of course and Planet Sport's Racing Live Centre is as good a resource as any as it houses the highly informative race cards for Newmarket, Hamilton and Salisbury.

Selections:

Soapy Stevens (13.50 Newmarket)

Crenelle (14.25 Newmarket)

Mitbaahy (14.35 Hamilton)

Spirit Mixer (14.40 Salisbury)

Ebaiyra (15.00 Newmarket)

Malavath (15.40 Newmarket)

13.50 Newmarket - Soapy Stevens

This sees the return of Melrose winner Valley Forge, who is now gelded and is open to further improvement at four, with all roads for him leading to the Ebor in August.

He's a worthy favourite but faces several race-fit rivals this afternoon, including three horses who ran in the Musselburgh Heritage Handicap won by Enemy, who did the form no harm when finishing an unlucky third in the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes.

Dark Jedi finished runner-up in that contest, two places ahead of Sir Rumi, with Charlie and Mark Johnston's Soapy Stevens in fifth, and the latter horse is fancied to come out on top here.

His was a far better effort than the bare form would suggest as he raced close to the pace and took a while to settle in a race that suited the hold-up horses - the first three all came from behind - with the run also likely to have been needed.

He has been dropped 1lb since, which leaves him just 5lb higher than when winning over this trip at Haydock last June, and today's quicker surface is more in his favour too.

Soapy Stevens in winning action at Haydock
Soapy Stevens in winning action at Haydock

14.25 Newmarket - Crenelle

John and Thady Gosden's filly should be 2-2 as she was unlucky not to score on her racecourse debut at Southwell, having been hampered close home, and duly got off the mark in a 1m fillies' maiden at the Craven meeting run at a sound pace and in a good time.

She had just a neck to spare over the runner-up Fonteyn at the line, with the pair well clear, but she didn't really get going until late on under Frankie Dettori (in the Juddmonte colours and back on board) and today's extra two furlongs should be more up her street.

Her stable has a terrific record in this Listed contest, winning it six times.

Crenelle was successful in a maiden at the Craven meeting under Frankie Dettori
Crenelle was successful in a maiden at the Craven meeting under Frankie Dettori

Charlie Appleby's With The Moonlight, a dual winner on the all-weather as a juvenile and clearly held in some regard judging by her Oaks entry, is feared most.

14.35 Hamilton - Mitbaahy

Just the four runners for this 5f conditions stakes for three-year-olds and they are headed by Kevin Ryan's Gis A Sub, who chased home the classy Lusail in last season's Gimcrack at York before finishing last of the six runners in a French Group 2 run on very soft ground.

He's dropping back to 5f for the first time, though, with his only victory coming over a stiff 6f at Pontefract, and this half-brother to a 7f winner could prove vulnerable on his first run back for a stable struggling for winners (1-26 in the last 14 days).

Roger Varian's Mitbaahy has plenty to find on official ratings but he was placed in Listed company at two and has clearly trained on judging by his opening run on soft ground at Nottingham last month when finishing a clear second-best, giving the impression that quicker conditions would suit him ideally. He might even go off favourite.

14.40 Salisbury - Spirit Mixer

With Zoffee being declared to run on Saturday and a likeky absentee, we're left with just three runners for this 1m6f handicap and it looks between a couple of course winners in Oman, who won a maiden at this meeting last year and has not run since October, and Andrew Balding's Spirit Mixer.

Crucially, perhaps, the latter horse has the benefit of a run this term, that coming at a meeting here 11 days ago when fourth over an inadequate 1m4f, and he'll surely come on for that.

The slow gallop on that occasion was against him too as he needs more of a stamina test, as he showed when winning here last August and then running the smart Bandinelli close in another 1m6f handicap at Haydock.

Furthermore, Callum Hutchinson's 5lb claim means he's getting 16lb from Oman.

15.00 Newmarket - Ebaiyra

Villa Grace had half a length to spare over Lilac Road when they finished first and second in a 1m2f Group 3 contest here last October and they meet on identical terms this afternoon. Both are capable of even better this season as four-year-olds for Sir Michael Stoute and William Haggas respectively, but they lack a run this term and French challenger Ebaiyra is preferred having already seen racecourse action. Trained by Francis Graffard for the Aga Khan, she has already won twice at this Group 2 level and ran her best race in defeat when chasing home Broome in the Group 1 Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud last July. While that was on soft ground, she's since shown she can handle quicker conditions when third in December's Hong Kong Vase and filling the same spot at Riyadh in January, when reversing placings with the Sha Tin runner-up Pyledriver. Both those races were over further than today's 1m1f, which is a concern, but Christophe Soumillon will hopefully make plenty use of her to bring her stamina into play, and he's fresh from riding a treble for the same stable at Longchamp on Thursday.

15.40 Newmarket (1,000 Guineas) - Malavath

Any discussion of the first fillies' Classic has to begin with Aidan O'Brien given he's won five of the last six runnings and seven times overall, and he's got two shots at glory this time around with the unbeaten Tenebrism joined by Naas maiden winnner Tuesday.

The former filly leapt to the head of the market following the defection of winter favourite Inspiral, but she's by no means certain to get a mile on breeding, being out of sprinter Caravaggio, and has to be taken on at her current odds for what looks an open renewal.

While she may well end up going back down in trip, her stablemate is more likely to be seen to best effect over middle distances - she heads the market for the Oaks currently - and might prove vulnerable here to a filly with a superior turn of foot.

Jessica Harrington's Discoveries looks a major player on her Group 1 success at the Curragh last September and if she can improve at three as much as her sister and Irish 1,000 Guineas winner Alpha Centauri did, she should have some big days ahead of her.

However, at similar odds we just prefer the claims of Francis Graffard's Malavath, who showed she had trained on when comfortably beating the re-opposing Zellie over 7f at Deauville 24 days ago, when quickening nicely and looking strong at the finish under today's pilot Christophe Soumillon.

Those assets will stand her in good stead on the Rowley Mile and while she's done all her winning on soft ground, her close-up second at last year's Breeders' Cup meeting proved she can handle much quicker conditions.

The article Sunday ITV Racing Tips: Best bets for Newmarket, Hamilton and Salisbury appeared first on Planetsport.com.

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