In our lineup picks for Sunday NFL Playoff FanDuel contests, we opted for a heavy Texans stack. In our DraftKings picks, we're going with more Chiefs. Fortunately, both strategies can pay off in divisional round NFL DFS contests, as these two dynamic offenses can trade punches for four quarters like they did earlier this year.
One of the themes of this lineup is our targeting of pass-catching RBs. All three of our backs are good receivers, which sets us up nicely even if their respective teams fall behind early. Two of our wide receivers are somewhat-risky plays, but we're paying up for the top TE, so that balances things out. In DraftKings full-point PPR format, getting high-volume pass-catchers is a good way to secure a high floor.
Sunday NFL Playoff DraftKings Picks: Divisional Round DFS tournament lineup
QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. Texans ($7,500). Mahomes' passing numbers have been down lately, but he's been running more (22.7 rushing yards per game over his past six games). Obviously, for him to really pay off here, we'll need to a see a vintage 300-yard, three-TD game from Mahomes, but it's nice to know he can get us some points with his legs. Even better is that he's facing a Houston defense that allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to QBs in the regular season. When these teams played in Week 6, Kansas City abandoned the run early and Mahomes finished with 273 yards and three TDs. We could see a repeat this week.
RB Damien Williams, Chiefs vs. Texans ($6,000). We're all-in on Williams, who totaled 35 touches in Weeks 16 and 17. What makes him especially appealing as a stacking partner with Mahomes is his receiving ability. In the final two weeks of the regular season, he caught seven-of-10 targets. In two playoff games last year, Williams caught 10-of-14 targets. Expect more of the same in this one, and he should have success against Houston's 25th-ranked run defense, too.
RB Duke Johnson, Texans @ Chiefs ($4,700). Here's the stat to know for this game: Kansas City allowed the third-most receptions and most receiving yards to RBs during the regular season. Johnson should get more touches this week, and given the matchup (Kansas City also ranked 26th against the run), he has a high yardage floor. He should easily pay off in full-point PPR formats, and if he gets in the end zone, he'll provide major value.
WR Davante Adams, Packers vs. Seahawks ($7,800). Compared to the other elite WRs on this slate (DeAndre Hopkins, Tyreek Hill), Adams is the safest bet for catches. He's averaged 11.4 targets per game since returning from a toe injury in Week 9, and he's had at least 93 yards in three straight contests. Adams' floor is as high as any non-QB on this slate.
WR Kenny Stills, Texans @ Chiefs ($4,800). Even if Will Fuller (groin) plys, Stills has plenty of big-play upside (see his two TDs in Week 15 when Fuller was active). If Kansas City scores as much as we think it will, there will be plenty of targets to go around for Houston's receivers in the second half, so we'll take a shot with Stills, who will hopefully be faded because of a minor knee injury and Fuller's potential return.
WR Allen Lazard, Packers vs. Seahawks ($4,500). Lazard caught nine-of-17 targets for 114 yards and a score over the season's final two games. He's quietly become Aaron Rodgers' No. 2 target, and that should continue against Seattle's middling pass defense. At 6-5, 227 pounds, Lazard can do work in the red zone and has plenty of big-play potential, so we have multiple ways to get points here.
MORE SUNDAY DFS: FanDuel lineup
TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Texans ($6,400). The rest of the TEs on this slate leave a lot to be desired, so we'll pay up for the one sure thing. Houston allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to TEs during the regular season, so Kelce should have a high floor with his usua eight-to-10 targets.
FLEX Travis Homer, Seahawks @ Packers ($5,100). We'll let others use Marshawn Lynch, who's expected to get more carries this week, while we use Homer, who could still easily get more touches. Homer should get at least six carries and likely around four-plus targets (he had 13 in Weeks 16 and 17 before getting only one last week). Against the Packers, who allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to RBs, Homer can make the most out of his touches. If Seattle falls behind early, he'll be on the field much more than Lynch, as Homer is the preferred option in the passing game.
D/ST Green Bay Packers vs. Seahawks ($2,800). Seattle's offensive line can struggle against decent pass rushes, and on a slate with no obvious D/ST plays, we'll opt for one of the rested, home units.