Monday features a nice small slate of MLB action for us to target, and we have a couple of three-star value bets on road underdogs. The Indians are one of the largest favorites on the slate of games today at -190 at home against the A’s. However, Oakland looks to be the team where the value lies even in a tough matchup against Carlos Carrasco. The Twins have been one of the most profitable teams in all of baseball to bet on this season, and tonight they are underdogs in their road game to a below-.500 Angels team.
There are some other solid matchups tonight, including Nationals-Mets, Mariners-Rangers, Phillies-Cubs, White Sox-Astros, Braves-Giants, and Diamondbacks-Padres, that bettors should look into.
Before we get into Monday's picks, remember that there's always plenty of strategy that goes into putting together a winning ticket, and the best place to start is the BetQL Mobile App. Our Trending Picks and Public Betting tools are a massive advantage when you're making bets, regardless of bankroll size. For more gambling and MLB DFS advice, follow me on Twitter (@DFSBenj).
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MLB Picks: Odds, betting trends for Monday, May 20
** All lines are subject to change. The best way to stay up to date on the current lines is to become a BetQL subscriber.
Oakland A’s at Cleveland Indians
Starting Pitchers: Brett Anderson vs. Carlos Carrasco
Money Line: OAK +160, CLE -190
Run Line: OAK +1.5 (-130), CLE -1.5 (+110)
Total: O/U 8 Runs
The A’s are on a roll right now after rolling over the Tigers over the weekend. Tonight, they continue their road trip as they head to Cleveland to take on the Indians as sizable +160 underdogs. While the A’s probably shouldn’t be favored in this game, especially with Carlos Carrasco on the mound for Cleveland; +160 is nice value. Oakland just took two of three from this same Indians team earlier this month, and it should be noted that Carrasco has struggled at points this season, posting an ERA of 4.18 through nine starts. The BetQL models have handicapped this game as OAK +110, so we are going to take the value on the A’s and bank on them staying hot on the road.
BetQL Pick: Oakland A’s Money line (+160)
Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
Starting Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Taylor Cole
Money Line: MIN +110, LAA -130
Run Line: MIN +1.5 (-200), LAA -1.5 (+170)
Total: O/U 9
It’s hard to undersell how good the Twins have been to bettors this season, returning a monster +14.19 units on a one-unit money-line bet per game. Despite this hot start to the season, sports books have been slow to adjust for the Twins success; something that the BetQL value ratings have been picking up almost every Twins game for the past two weeks. Tonight, Minnesota will start a road series with the Angels and come in as +110 underdogs. Minnesota actually opened as -130 favorites in this matchup, but an early rush of bets for the Angels moved this line to where it currently sits. This line movement looks to be an overcorrection to early public money, and we have the Twins handicapped as -148 favorites in this game.
BetQL Pick: Minnesota Twins Money Line (+110)
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