World Cup: Daily predictions – Another Germany collapse and David to end drought

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Spain take on Germany on Sunday in one of the standout fixtures of the entire 2022 World Cup group stage.

And anticipation for the match has only increased following the first round of matches.

Had both teams won, they likely would have each been set for the knockout stage regardless of this result, but Germany's shock defeat to Japan puts them at very real risk of elimination.

Japan's win will count for little if they cannot also beat sorry Costa Rica, while Canada will hope another strong performance against Croatia is this time rewarded with a win.

Led by Opta data, Stats Perform provides some tips ahead of another busy day of World Cup action in Qatar.

All times local.

Japan v Costa Rica – Ahmed bin Ali Stadium (1300)

The omens are not good for Costa Rica, who shipped seven to Spain and have conceded three goals in each of their three defeats to Japan.

It is not just the defence that is a problem for Los Ticos, though, as they have had three or more shots on target in just two of their past seven World Cup matches.

If Costa Rica are looking for some cause for optimism, CONCACAF nations have won six of their eight World Cup matches against Asian teams, losing only once.

Player prediction – Daichi Kamada to score: Kamada is the man for the big occasion. He is Eintracht Frankfurt's second-highest scorer of all time in major European competitions with 14 goals in 29 games. The Japan forward attempted just one shot against Germany but should find more joy faced with this Costa Rica defence.

Best bet – Japan to win and keep a clean sheet: Those three Japan wins against Costa Rica have come from just four matches, while Los Ticos' issues in front of goal were set out above. They have failed to score in five of their past seven World Cup games.

Belgium v Morocco – Al Thumama Stadium (1600)

Belgium rode their luck against Canada, but an eighth consecutive group-stage win at the World Cup tied Brazil's record.

Roberto Martinez's men will fancy their chances of setting a new benchmark on Sunday, given they have won three of their four previous meetings with African nations at the finals, including thrashing Tunisia 5-2 in their most recent such match.

Red Devils fans could be forgiven for having some concerns, however. Belgium conceded 2.7 xG and faced 22 shots against Canada, while they lost their previous two games coming into this World Cup against the Netherlands and Egypt.

Player prediction – Michy Batshuayi to net again: Batshuayi filled the void left by Romelu Lukaku impressively in the Canada game, scoring their only goal and attempting Belgium's previous five shots before his substitution. The forward has 18 goals in his 25 starts for his country.

Best bet – Belgium to win to nil: The Red Devils will hope to be much better than against Canada, but they will be confident of victory regardless given their run of form. They have kept clean sheets in five of their past six group-stage wins.


Croatia v Canada – Khalifa International Stadium (1900)

Canada might have come agonisingly close to upsetting Belgium, but they remain goalless and pointless at World Cups, losing each of their four games without finding the net from 50 attempts.

Meanwhile, Croatia have won five of their last six games in all competitions. Across those six matches, they have kept four clean sheets.

All in all, it does not look great for a Canada team who badly need a win to maintain hope of achieving their goal of reaching the knockout stage.

Player prediction – Jonathan David to score: There is only so long David can go without finding the net. He has nine goals from 50 attempts in Ligue 1 this season but failed to even hit the target with seven shots against Belgium. It is at least encouraging he was able to get into those positions.

Best bet – Croatia to win: Croatia have scored in 11 of their past 12 World Cup games, which is a concerning statistic for Canada, whose last seven wins have included six clean sheets – a tall order this time.

Spain v Germany – Al Bayt Stadium (2200)

Germany will be out with a defeat and on the brink even with a draw, so they would have preferred not to be facing Spain, one of the standout performers of the first round of fixtures.

Spain have scored in 10 of their past 11 matches at major tournaments, where Germany have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10.

Indeed, Germany have lost six of their last nine games at World Cups or Euros, although seven of Spain's last seven such matches have ended level.

Player prediction – Ferran Torres to score again: Torres is a man in form with a history in this fixture. He scored twice from two shots against Costa Rica and netted a hat-trick when he last faced Germany in 2020.

Best bet – Germany half-time/Spain full-time: The Japan loss was unfortunately not a first for Germany. In three of their past eight defeats, they have led at half-time. Spain have come back to win on two of the past four occasions they have trailed at the break in the World Cup.