World Cup: Daily predictions – Neymar's back but Richarlison the man for Brazil

The knockout stage is well under way in Qatar, and a tournament favourite will be looking to seal their place in the last eight of the World Cup on Monday.

Brazil face South Korea and should have Neymar back in contention after he recovered from the ankle injury that kept him out of the Selecao's last two games.

The winner of that match will take on the victor of the day's other tie, between Japan and Croatia.

Stats Perform, using Opta data, has put together some key predictions ahead of the third day of last-16 action.

All times local.

Japan v Croatia – Al Janoub Stadium (1800)

This will be the third World Cup meeting between Japan and Croatia, with Japan winless and goalless in the previous two – a 1-0 defeat in 1998 and a goalless draw in 2006, both in the group stage.

Japan have reached the last 16 of the World Cup for a fourth time. However, they have never progressed from this stage, going out to Turkey in 2002, Paraguay (on penalties) in 2010, and Belgium in 2018.

This is Croatia's third appearance in the round of 16 at the World Cup, and they progressed from this stage in both previous instances, beating Romania 1-0 in 1998 and Denmark on penalties in 2018.

Player Prediction – Ritsu Doan to score with his first shot on target: Doan has scored two goals in three World Cup group games for Japan, netting with both of his shots on target.

Match Prediction – No goals scored in the first half: Each of Japan's last seven goals in World Cup football has come in the second half, while two of Croatia's games at the 2022 World Cup have been goalless.


Brazil v South Korea – Stadium 974 (2200)

Brazil have progressed from each of their last seven round-of-16 matches at the World Cup, only failing to win in normal time once during this run, progressing via penalties against Chile in 2014. They were last eliminated at this stage in 1990 by Argentina.

Eleven of South Korea's last 12 goals at the World Cup have been scored in the second half of games, with four of the last seven being scored in the 90th minute or later. Their only first-half goal in this run was Kim Young-gwon's equaliser against Portugal last time out.

Both of Richarlison's goals in Qatar came in Brazil's opening game
Both of Richarlison's goals in Qatar came in Brazil's opening game

Brazil have failed to score in the first half in any of their last five World Cup games, their joint-longest run of games without a first-half goal in the competition, along with another five-game run at the 1994 edition.

Player Prediction – Richarlison to score anytime: Neymar might be back in contention but Richarlison is the player to back on Monday. He has scored eight goals in his last six starts for Brazil, registering exactly two attempts on target in six of his last eight starts for the national side.

Match Prediction – Under 2.5 goals scored: Only Tunisia (two), the United States (three) and Belgium (three) saw fewer goals scored in their group-stage matches than Brazil's games featured (four goals), with none of the Selecao's three games containing more than two total goals.