The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off for the second time in the last three Super Bowls. This year's meeting may look at lot different than the high-flying 38-35 Chiefs win in Super Bowl 57.

Philadelphia and Kansas City still boast quality offenses, but both teams have seen their defenses tighten up since the last time they played in the Big Game. Notably, the Chiefs have shifted from an explosive offense with a hit-or-miss defense to an efficient offense with a top-tier, Steve Spagnuolo-coached stop unit.

Meanwhile, the Eagles' run-heavy offensive approach has made things easier for their defense, which has developed into an attacking unit that tries to force turnovers. Like the Chiefs, their passing game isn't as explosive as it was two years ago, but they still have big-time playmakers capable of busting out at a moment's notice.

Do the Eagles or Chiefs have the edge in Super Bowl 59? Here's a look at the stats that could decide the winner of this year's NFL championship game.

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Eagles vs. Chiefs stats

Below is a breakdown of how the Eagles and Chiefs offenses and defenses match up against one another ahead of their Super Bowl 59 clash. All stats are including the postseason.

Eagles offense vs. Chiefs defense

Eagles offensive stats

• Points per game: 28.4 (6th in NFL)

• Yards per game: 367.1 (7th)

• Passing yards per game: 180.5 (31st)

• Rushing yards per game: 186.6 (2nd)

Chiefs defensive stats

• Points per game allowed: 19.4 (4th)

• Yards per game allowed: 327.3 (10th)

• Passing yards per game allowed: 220.6 (19th)

• Rushing yards per game allowed: 106.7 (9th)

The key in the Eagles offense vs. Chiefs defense matchup will be whether Philadelphia's top-tier running game can continue to enjoy success. Saquon Barkley has been unstoppable on the Eagles' postseason run thus far, but Kansas City will provide the toughest test Philadelphia has faced thus far.

The Chiefs allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to running backs during the 2024 regular season. They have been slightly leakier against the position in the postseason – allowing an average of 107.5 rushing yards to backs across two games – so they may not be able to stop Barkley in full.

That said, Barkley has played six games against teams that rank within the top 15 of EPA allowed per rushing play this season. He has averaged 19.8 carries, 88.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns across those contests, so that may give the Chiefs a chance to render the 2,000-yard rusher slightly less effective than usual.

That would put pressure on Jalen Hurts to find a way to beat the Chiefs. That may not look easy given Philadelphia's low-end passing numbers, but they ranked eighth overall in offensive EPA per passing play. That should give Hurts a chance to make some splash plays to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, though Dallas Goedert has the best matchup against a Chiefs defense that allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends during the 2024 season.

The biggest factor for Philadelphia's passing offense may be whether its offensive line can keep Hurts clean. He boasts an impressive 118.1 passer rating when kept clean compared to a lowly 68.3 when pressure, per Pro Football Focus.

The Chiefs finished tied for 18th with 39 sacks during the regular season but sported a top five pressure rate (26.1%). As such, the game will tilt in Kansas City's favor if Philadelphia has to go to a more pass-heavy game-plan during this matchup.

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Chiefs offense vs. Eagles defense

Chiefs offensive stats

• Points per game: 23.2 (12th)

• Yards per game: 324.5 (19th)

• Passing yards per game: 220.5 (15th)

• Rushing yards per game: 103.9 (23rd)

Eagles defensive stats

• Points per game allowed: 17.9 (1st)

• Yards per game allowed: 289.3 (1st)

• Passing yards per game allowed: 184.9 (2nd)

• Rushing yards per game allowed: 104.4 (8th)

The strength-on-strength matchup between Barkley and the Chiefs defense won't be the only fun one to watch in Super Bowl 59. Vic Fangio's top-two pass defense against Patrick Mahomes will also capture the attention of NFL fans everywhere.

The Eagles have limited opposing quarterbacks significantly during the postseason. Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford and Jayden Daniels combined to complete 60.3% of their passes for an average of 245.7 yards with three touchdowns and four interceptions across Philadelphia's first three playoff games.

Will Philly be able to do the same against Mahomes? Signs point to yes, as Mahomes has been efficient but not prolific in seven starts against teams ranking top 10 in defensive EPA per passing play. He has averaged a respectable 254.3 passing yards per game in those contests but recorded just six passing touchdowns across those seven contests while never recording more than one in a game. His overall passer rating in those games was a modest 92.33.

The Eagles rank second league-wide in defensive EPA per passing play, so Mahomes may have to rely on his running game more to support him. That won't prove easy, as the Eagles are strong against the run while the Chiefs have not had a 100-plus-yard rusher since Kareem Hunt in a Week 9 overtime game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The one defensive weakness the Chiefs might be able to exploit comes at tight end. The Eagles have struggled to guard the position since losing Nakobe Dean to a season-ending injury in the first round of the playoffs, as veterans Tyler Higbee and Zach Ertz combined for 18 catches, 163 yards and a touchdown in the ensuing two playoff rounds.

That could allow Travis Kelce to have another big playoff game and might give Mahomes exactly what he needs to spark Kansas City's offense. Still, the overall advantage on this side of the ball lies with the Eagles, which may end up making this game a grind-it-out defensive battle.

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Who has the edge in Super Bowl 59?

It looks like both defenses will have the edge in Super Bowl 59, so the end result will likely depend on which team can gets its offensive stars to perform at the highest level.

The Eagles' weakness against tight end could prove problematic because of this. We've seen Mahomes and Kelce heat up consistently during their time together, especially in the postseason. If they can keep Kansas City ahead of the chains, that should give the Chiefs the slight edge in this contest.

The Chiefs also have the more consistent special teams play of late, as Harrison Butker has made all nine of his postseason kicks and is 2-of-5 from 50-plus yards this season. Comparatively, Jake Elliott has gone 15-of-19 in the postseason and is just 1-of-8 from 50-plus yards on the campaign.

As such, the edge on paper belongs to the Chiefs. Will they be able to turn that into an on-field edge as they seek an unprecedented Super Bowl three-peat? Only time will tell.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: How Eagles vs. Chiefs stats stack up ahead of Super Bowl 59 matchup