NFL betting: Three props for Bills-Titans on Monday night

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·Betting analyst
·2-min read
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It was another wild weekend in the NFL.

How 'bout them Cowboys? Dallas remains the only team with a perfect record against the spread at 6-0. Right behind the Cowboys are the Buffalo Bills at 4-1 against the spread, with a Monday Night Football matchup against the Tennessee Titans on tap.

Here are three props I like for Monday night.

Dawson Knox anytime touchdown (+165)

The Buffalo tight end leads the team in receiving touchdowns and has scored the last four games. The only game in which Knox did not walk away with points was in the 23-16 season-opening loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. He is fourth on the team in receptions and fourth in targets but maximizes his reps. 

Derrick Henry OVER 13.5 receiving yards (-115)

The Bills' defense isn’t giving up too much yardage this season. Ranked second against the pass and third against the run, Buffalo has held opponents to a league-low 4.3 yards per play and an average of 13 points per game.

However, one sliver of "weakness" is giving up receiving yards to running backs. The Bills have allowed at least 18 yards to running backs in each game except against the Steelers in Week 1, but we can assume it’s just because Pittsburgh still doesn’t know how to utilize a weapon like Najee Harris.

Henry has had more than 19 yards receiving in four games this season. If the Titans want a chance at contending, Henry will be in full force.

Josh Allen OVER 38.5 longest passing completion (-115)

The Bills quarterback ranks eighth in deep-ball attempts and third in deep-ball completion percentage, and the Titans will be without starting cornerback Kristian Fulton.

Allen also has multiple weapons to utilize with receivers Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders and the emerging Knox.

Other tidbits to note:

  • The Bills lead in opponent red-zone scoring with just six total touchdowns allowed (five passing, one rushing).

  • The Titans are ranked last in the NFL in sacks allowed (20).

  • The Bills are ranked sixth in sacks generated (14).

  • The Titans are 22nd in giveaways (three interceptions, five fumbles).

  • The Bills' defense ranks third in takeaways (nine interceptions, seven forced fumbles), so a turnover prop could be a good play.

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