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Every last-16 team at Euro 2024 ranked: Austria flying – but are England too high?

Austria celebrate
Austria have been the big surprise of the tournament so far - Getty Images/Halil Sagirkaya

16. Slovenia

Qualified for the round of 16 without winning a game and their lack of ambition against England hints at a team that will continue to play ultra-defensive football in the hope of squeezing through knockout games.

15. Slovakia

Beat Belgium in the group stage with a giantkilling performance, which should serve as a warning to England when they meet on Sunday. But Slovakia were very lucky on that occasion and the draw has been kind to Gareth Southgate.

14. Denmark

Their inability to beat anyone in the group stage naturally suggests they might struggle in the knockout rounds. Caused England problems in a 1-1 draw but still only collected three points with three draws. Will be tough to beat but do they have the quality to win?

13. Romania

Somehow managed to top their group ahead of Belgium, but that was largely down to a surprise victory over Ukraine in their opening game. Did not do much after that to suggest they will be a threat in the knockout games.

Romania celebrate topping their group
Romania celebrate topping their group - Getty Images/Justin Setterfield

12. Georgia

The feelgood story of the tournament so far and have a world-class goalkeeper in Giorgi Mamardashvili and a brilliant winger in Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Playing with the freedom of a team happy to be here and that can be a potent driving force.

11. Switzerland

Can feel a little aggrieved to be below some teams, given they finished second in their group but they could only draw with Scotland and were in a poor group, with their only victory against a weak Hungary side.

10. Belgium

Something is not right with the Belgians but, as with others, they still have a very strong side on paper and will surely improve after a stodgy group-stage campaign. Unfortunately, their next game is against France.

9. Netherlands

I would not have fancied England’s chances of beating a team packed with Premier League experience if they had faced each other in the round of 16. Pre-tournament concerns about their lack of firepower up front have manifested but Memphis Depay was superb in the defeat against Austria.

Memphis Depay celebrates
Memphis Depay is the Netherlands' dangerman - Reuters/Lisi Niesner

8. Italy

Their results do not inspire confidence: a narrow defeat by Spain, a draw against Croatia with a 98th-minute equaliser and a scrappy victory over Albania. But this is Italy we are talking about and they won plenty of tournaments whilst not playing well.

7. Turkey

They have been involved in some of the best games at the Euros and enjoyed good wins over Georgia and Czech Republic. The heavy defeat by Portugal slips them down the rankings but they are definitely dangerous.

6. England

Too high you say? Maybe you are right, but England conceded one goal in the group stage – a wonder strike from outside the box against Denmark – and they have lots of room for improvement in an attacking sense. Unbeaten so far, which surely counts for something.

5. Portugal

They come in so high mainly because of the 3-0 thrashing of Turkey in the group stage but, just like France, they have such a good team on paper and are capable of playing fantastic football. Also beat the Czech Republic before resting players for the final group game defeat by Georgia.

Portugal celebrate
On paper, Portugal look very strong - Getty Images/Jurgen Fromme

4. France

Something is not quite right with the French team and they did not click at all in the group stage, struggling to score goals and finishing only second. However, they remain the best side in Europe on paper and retain a high ranking because of it.

3. Austria

Ralf Rangnick failed as interim manager of Manchester United but the way this Austria team plays suggests he was not the problem at Old Trafford. The big surprise of the tournament so far, they were unlucky to lose the first game against France but bounced back with impressive wins over Netherlands and Poland.

2. Germany

There was a slight slip-up against Switzerland in their final group game, when they scored a late equaliser, but they are such an exciting team and have that extra advantage as hosts. The Germans have got their mojo back.

1. Spain

Played three, won three and were hugely impressive in a crushing victory over Croatia in their opening game. Also beat a decent Italy side and have looked slick and efficient so far. Nobody will want to face them in the knockout rounds.

Last-16 predictions

Switzerland vs Italy

Switzerland are tough opposition and have lots of tournament experience. They shocked France at the World Cup but Italy should have enough to progress in a classic Italian way.
Predicted score: 0-1

Germany vs Denmark

Denmark managed to stifle and at times outplay England, but the draw was unkind to them and the tournament hosts should breeze past them, given their firepower and home advantage.
Predicted score: 3-0

England vs Slovakia

England are not playing well but they are not conceding goals. It is likely to be more of the same from Slovakia, who will defend deep and look to frustrate. But Southgate’s side surely cannot continue to struggle in attack given the talent at their disposal.
Predicted score: 2-0

Spain vs Georgia

This is likely to be where the fun stops for Georgia. Spain have looked the most accomplished side at the Euros and should have too much class for the plucky minnows.
Predicted score: 3-1

France vs Belgium

The heavyweight clash is most mouth-watering fixture of the round. Someone is going home to a background of boos and acrimony. Tough game to call but France were pre-tournament favourites for a reason.
Predicted score: 2-1

Portugal vs Slovenia

Slovenia showed they can defend and block but Portugal have the attacking and creative players to unlock them and should do so with more ease than England managed.
Predicted score: 2-0

Romania vs Netherlands

The Dutch said getting to a quarter-final would be a par score for them at this tournament and they should manage it. Romania did well in the group but have their obvious limitations.
Predicted score: 1-2

Austria vs Turkey

This is a really tough one to call as I liked both sides in the group stage but Austria’s high-pace, high-intensity football can overwhelm Turkey. They should progress, but it could go the other way as Turkey have some quality players.
Predicted score: 3-2