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2020 Olympics betting: Picks for the last round of group stage soccer games
Tuesday and Wednesday are pivotal Olympic soccer days.
The final round of the group stage games in the women’s tournament begins early Tuesday morning in the United States ahead of Wednesday’s conclusion of the group stage games in the men’s tournament.
The United States Women’s National Team is still the favorite to win gold at BetMGM despite sitting second in Group G after an opening game loss to Sweden. The U.S. is -110 to win the tournament ahead of the Netherlands and Great Britain at +500 each.
The U.S. should easily move on to the quarterfinals of the tournament. With three groups of four teams each, just four teams fail to advance to the knockout rounds of the tournament. Five teams currently have either 1 or 0 points heading into Tuesday’s games.
Here’s how the group standings look:
Group E
Great Britain, 6 points
Canada, 4 points
Japan, 1 point
Chile, 0 points
Group F
Netherlands, 4 points
Brazil, 4 points
China, 1 point
Zambia, 1 point
Group G
Sweden, 6 points
United States, 3 points
Australia, 3 points
New Zealand, 0 points
Great Britain is -400 to win Group E outright ahead of its game against Canada (+250 to win the group) on Tuesday. We like that bet because it’ll take a Canada victory to win the group. Great Britain still clinches the group with a tie.
The U.S. is -350 to beat Australia (3 a.m. ET) on Tuesday while a tie is at +450 and the Australians are underdogs at +575. We’re a fan of under 3.5 goals (-105) parlayed with the United States to win.
The U.S. will likely finish second in Group G, however. Sweden takes on New Zealand on Tuesday. New Zealand is a +1250 underdog to beat Sweden. Couple that with Sweden’s goal differential advantage and the Swedes are -5000 to win Group G while the U.S. is a +1400 longshot to take over the group win.
Men’s tournament
Things are a little more unpredictable on the men’s side, primarily because there are four groups instead of three. The top two teams in each group move on and there are at least two teams tied for the knockout positions in each group. Here’s how the standings look:
Group A
Japan, 6 points
Mexico, 3 points
France, 3 points
South Africa, 0 points
Group B
South Korea, 3 points
Honduras, 3 points
New Zealand, 3 points
Romania, 3 points
Group C
Spain, 4 points
Australia, 3 points
Argentina, 3 points
Egypt, 1 point
Group D
Brazil, 4 points
Ivory Coast, 4 points
Germany, 3 points
Saudi Arabia, 0 points
Oddsmakers like Korea’s chances to win Group B despite everyone sitting on three points. Korea is the only team in the group with a positive goal differential at +3 and that advantage should come in handy when it comes to advancing to the quarterfinals. Korea is -185 to win the group while Honduras is at +350. Romania (+600) and New Zealand (+800) are the underdogs to win the group and could advance with a win.
Betting Korea to win the group seems like a smart play, though a small hedge on Honduras may not be a bad idea either to cover your bases.
The best game of Wednesday could come at 7:30 a.m. ET when France takes on Japan. France is +185 to beat Japan (+120) on Wednesday and get to six points. But France is just +1600 to win the group because Mexico (-250) is a heavy favorite against South Africa (+750). France needs to beat Japan by two goals and have South Africa get a result against Mexico. We don’t think that will happen. Play the group straight up and bet either Japan (-350) or Mexico (+250) to win the group.
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