UFC Fight Night 232 predictions: Five 10-1 blowout picks and some surprises in Las Vegas

matt erickson

Fri, 17 Nov 2023, 4:00 pm·2-min read

The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base ahead of a short fall break, and middleweight contenders headline the show.

UFC Fight Night 232 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The event streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Uros Medic vs. Myktybek Orolbai

Records: Medic (9-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC), Orolbai (11-1-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Division: Welterweight
Betting odds: Orolbai -150, Medic +125
Junkie pick results: Medic 10, Orolbai 1

Luana Pinheiro vs. Amanda Ribas

Records: Pinheiro (11-1 MMA, 3-0 UFC), Ribas (11-4 MMA, 6-3 UFC)
Division: Women’s strawweight
Betting odds: Ribas -245, Pinheiro +200
Junkie pick results: Ribas 10, Pinheiro 1

Nick Aguirre vs. Payton Talbott

Records: Aguirre (7-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC), Talbott (6-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Division: Bantamweight
Betting odds: Talbott -750, Aguirre +525
Junkie pick results: Talbott 10, Aguirre 1

Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt

Records: Hooper (12-3-1 MMA, 4-3 UFC), Leavitt (11-2 MMA, 4-2 UFC)
Division: Lightweight
Betting odds: Hooper -205, Leavitt +170
Junkie pick results: Leavitt 10, Hooper 1

Jake Matthews vs. Michael Morales

Records: Matthews (19-6 MMA, 12-6 UFC), Morales (15-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC)
Division: Welterweight
Betting odds: Morales -300, Matthews +240
Junkie pick results: Morales 10, Matthews 1

Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig

Records: Allen (22-5 MMA, 10-2 UFC), Craig (17-6-1 MMA, 9-6-1 UFC)
Division: Middleweight
Betting odds: Allen -425, Craig +330
Junkie pick results: Allen 7, Craig 4

Check out all the main card picks below.

UFC Fight Night 232 main card picks

	Allen vs. Craig	Matthews vs. Morales	Hooper vs. Leavitt	Aguirre vs. Talbott	Pinheiro vs. Ribas	Medic vs. Orolbai
MMA Junkie readers’ consensus picks 185-102	allen2023 Allen (55%)	morales2023 Morales (68%)	hooper2023 Hooper (59%)	talbott2023 Talbott (79%)	ribas2023 Ribas (63%)	medic2023 Medic (76%)
Nolan King @mma_kings 185-102	craig2023 Craig	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Simon Samano @SJSamano 183-104	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	aguirre2023 Aguirre	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
George Garcia @MMAjunkieGeorge 182-105	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	hooper2023 Hooper	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Ken Hathaway @1kenhathaway 181-106 trophy copy 2018, 2022 Champion	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	pinheiro2023 Pinheiro	medic2023 Medic
Mike Bohn @MikeBohn 180-107 trophy copy 2014 Champion	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Matthew Wells @MrMWells 174-113	craig2023 Craig	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Brian Garcia @thegoze 173-114 trophy copy 2017 Champion	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Farah Hannoun @Farah_Hannoun 172-115	allen2023 Allen	matthews2023 Matthews	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Matt Erickson @MattE 172-115	craig2023 Craig	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	orolbai2023 Orolbai
Abbey Subhan @kammakaze 171-116	craig2023 Craig	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic
Danny Segura @dannyseguratv 166-122	allen2023 Allen	morales2023 Morales	leavitt2023 Leavitt	talbott2023 Talbott	ribas2023 Ribas	medic2023 Medic