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United Airlines (UAL) Tops Q2 Earnings & Revenues, Ups EPS View

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) reported second-quarter 2023 earnings per share (EPS) of $5.03, which outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.99 and improved more than 100% year over year.

Operating revenues of $14,178 million beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13,927.1 million. UAL’s revenues increased 17.1% year over year due to upbeat air-travel demand. The year-over-year increase in the top line was driven by a 20.1% rise in passenger revenues (accounting for 91.7% of the top line) to $13,002 million. Nearly 42 million passengers traveled on UAL flights in the second quarter.

Cargo revenues fell 36.9% year over year to $362 million. Revenues from other sources increased 14.8% from the second quarter of 2022 to $814 million.

United Airlines Holdings Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

United Airlines Holdings Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
United Airlines Holdings Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

United Airlines Holdings Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | United Airlines Holdings Inc Quote

Other Details of Q2

Below, we present all comparisons (in % terms) with the second quarter of 2022 figures unless otherwise stated.

Consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile (a key measure of unit revenues) increased 2.2%. Total revenue per available seat mile fell 0.4% to 19.28 cents. The average yield per revenue passenger mile increased 2.6% to 20.46 cents.

Consolidated airline traffic, measured in revenue passenger miles, grew 17%, while capacity, measured in available seat miles, grew 17.5%. Consolidated load factor (percentage of seat occupancy) inched down 0.3 percentage points to 86.4%, higher than our estimate of 81.4%.

The average aircraft fuel price per gallon fell 36.4% to $2.66, lower than our expectation of $2.83. Fuel gallons consumed were up 16.4% from the second quarter of 2022 actuals.

Operating expenses (on a reported basis) increased 12.7% to $12,661 million. Consolidated unit cost or cost per available seat mile (CASM), excluding fuel, third-party business expenses, profit-sharing and special charges, grew 2% to 11.85 cents.

UAL exited the second quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $9,605 million compared with $7,634 million at the end of the prior quarter. Long-term debt at the end of the reported quarter was $26,713 million compared with $27,460 million at the end of the prior quarter.

Outlook

For the third quarter of 2023, United Airlines expects capacity to improve by almost 16% from the year-ago reported figure.

Total revenues are anticipated to grow 10-13% year over year. UAL expects third-quarter EPS in the band of $3.85-$4.35. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter EPS is currently pegged at $3.61.

UAL forecasts the average aircraft fuel price per gallon in the range of $2.50-$2.80.

For 2023, United Airlines expects capacity to improve by almost 18% from the year-ago reported figure. Adjusted CASM, excluding fuel, third-party business expenses, profit-sharing and special charges, is expected to register year-over-year growth of 1%-2% (prior view: remain flat). Adjusted capital expenditures are expected to be around $8.5 billion.

UAL expects 2023 EPS in the band of $11.00-$12.00 (prior view: $10-$12). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2023 EPS is currently pegged at $9.79.

Currently, United Airlines carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performances of Other Transportation Companies

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.’s JBHT second-quarter 2023 EPS of $1.81 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.97 and declined 25.2% year over year.

JBHT’s total operating revenues of $3,132.6 million also lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,347.5 million and fell 18.4% year over year. The downfall was due to a decline in revenue per load of 24% in Integrated Capacity Solutions, 13% in Intermodal, 21% in Truckload and a 4% decline in productivity in Dedicated Capacity Solutions on the back of changes in customer rate, freight mix and lower fuel surcharge revenue.

Total operating revenues, excluding fuel surcharges, decreased 14% year over year.

Delta Air Lines DAL reported better-than-expected revenues and EPS, driven by strong air-travel demand. DAL’s second-quarter 2023 EPS (excluding 16 cents from non-recurring items) of $2.68 comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.42. DAL reported EPS of $1.44 a year ago, dull compared to the current scenario, as air-travel demand was not so buoyant then.

DAL’s total revenues of $15,578 million beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14,991.6 million.  Total revenues increased 12.69% on a year-over-year basis, driven by higher air-travel demand.

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